Housing Starts, Permits, Were Expected Above 1.4 Million: June 15, 2026

Housing starts and permits on Monday were each expected to exceed 1.4 million seasonally adjusted annualized units the following day’s print with the Interactive Brokers Prediction Market pointing to 83% and 70% chances of the metrics surpassing that threshold. The results were anticipated to arrive in the ballpark of the year-to-date and 12-month averages of 1.43 million and 1.37 million for starts, respectively, and 1.43 million and 1.42 million for permits. Construction has not returned to the robust levels that occurred after the pandemic, as mortgage expenses are too elevated on a relative basis while valuations have ramped up materially. This Monday miss on homebuilder sentiment additionally reflected those headwinds, with the 34-print coming in far beneath the neutral level of 50. In the Reuters monthly poll of 34 forecasters, meanwhile, the median estimates are at 1.43 million and 1.42 million amidst minimum and maximums of 1.37 million, 1.38 million, 1.48 million and 1.46 million. It’s important to mention, however, that these releases have higher-than-normal deviation rates, meaning that the actual figures can vary widely from the consensus range.

Source for images: Interactive Brokers Prediction Markets.

Note: Prices are highest bids as of the morning of June 15, 2026. 

Learn more about ForecastEx here

Disclaimer:
Forecast Contracts are only available to eligible clients of Interactive Brokers LLC, Interactive Brokers Canada Inc., Interactive Brokers Hong Kong Limited, Interactive Brokers Ireland Limited and Interactive Brokers Singapore Pte. Ltd.

Futures, event contracts and forecast contracts are not suitable for all investors. Before trading these products, please read the Forecast Contract Risk Disclosure. Displayed outcomes and prices are based on real-time market sentiment from ForecastEx LLC, an affiliate of Interactive Brokers Group. Interactive Brokers Ireland Limited does not make recommendations with respect to any products available on its platform, including those offered by ForecastEx.