President Trump’s comments to National Economic Council Director Kevin Hassett stating that he’d prefer to keep him where he is sent the odds of US Former Fed Governor Warsh being nominated as Chair to the central a fresh record of 67% on Friday, before settling in at 60%. Hasset’s chances dropped from 40% down to 15% on the news, meanwhile, current Governor Christopher Waller rose from 8% to 15%.

Past performance is not indicative of future results.
Greenland Becoming Part of US Rises To 51% Record
The odds of any portion of Greenland becoming part of the US rose to a fresh record on Friday as well following President Trump’s threats of new tariffs to countries that don’t go along with Washington’s quest to acquire the island territory in the name of national security. The initial volatility faded quickly, however, with the likelihood falling back to 40% shortly after.

Past performance is not indicative of future results.
Source for images: ForecastEx
Note: Prices are highest bids as of the morning of Jan. 16, 2026. Time until expiration is also as of Jan. 16, 2026.
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