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Euro Unemployment Was Expected to Rise to 6.2%: March 31, 2026

Euro Unemployment Was Expected to Rise to 6.2%: March 31, 2026

Posted April 1, 2026 at 10:19 am

Jose Torres
IBKR Macroeconomics

Wednesday’s unemployment print from the Eurozone was expected on Tuesday to feature an increase to 6.2% in February from 6.1% in January. Prediction market pricing offered the 6.1% “Yes” at $0.65, while the 6.2% “No” was at $0.81. Looking over and under, the 6.3% “No” and 6% “Yes” were priced at $0.94 and $0.89, respectively. Meanwhile, the monthly Reuters poll of 20 forecasters penciled in similar results, with all submitted estimates at either 6.1% or 6.2%, although more of them analysts anticipated the lower 6.1% figure.

Forecast Contract - Will Euro zone's Unemployment Rate exceed 6.2% in February 2026?

Forecast Contract - Euro zone Unemployment Rate contracts.

Source for images: ForecastEx

Note: Prices are highest bids as of the morning of March 31, 2026. Time until market closing was also as of March 31, 2026. 

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Disclaimer:

Forecast Contracts are only available to eligible clients of Interactive Brokers LLC, Interactive Brokers Canada Inc., Interactive Brokers Hong Kong Limited, Interactive Brokers Ireland Limited and Interactive Brokers Singapore Pte. Ltd.

Futures, event contracts and forecast contracts are not suitable for all investors. Before trading these products, please read the Forecast Contract Risk Disclosure. Displayed outcomes and prices are based on real-time market sentiment from ForecastEx LLC, an affiliate of Interactive Brokers Group. Interactive Brokers Ireland Limited does not make recommendations with respect to any products available on its platform, including those offered by ForecastEx.

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