Weekly Economic Index Was Expected to Reflect Ongoing Strength: May 6, 2026

On Wednesday, the following day’s US Weekly Economic Index from the Dallas Fed was poised to reflect ongoing strength, following 10 consecutive reports with rates arriving ahead of 2.4%. Heading into the print on Wednesday, there was a 78% likelihood of a result that exceeds 2.4%, and a 58% chance of a number that fails to exceed 2.6%. Under and over, there was a 95% prospect of a statistic north of 2.2% as well as a 78% probability of a headline that was less than or equal to 2.8%. The last four weeks have arrived at 2.96%, 2.47%, 2.80% and 2.70% as activity has remained buoyant despite elevated oil prices, high borrowing costs and general uncertainty serving as risks to the outlook.

Source for images: ForecastEx

Note: Prices are highest bids as of the morning of May 6, 2026. Time until market closing was also as of the morning of May 6, 2026

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