New US home sales were expected on Monday to have remained suppressed as the real estate sector has continued to contend with a plethora of significant headwinds. The challenges include both demand- and supply-side factors like elevated mortgage expenses, record valuations and costly materials that together constrain affordability conditions. Additionally, restrictive immigration policies are quelling foreigner activities and reducing efficiencies via rising vacancy rates while placing downward pressure on the number of international prospective buyers and renters. Furthermore, it’s also weighing on the overall availability of construction workers that are needed to build houses. As a result, on Monday, the following day’s July headline result for new home sales was projected to decline from June’s 628k seasonally adjusted annualized units down to 620k. But this indicator is volatile, and emblematic of the historical variability is the 39 forecasters participating in the monthly Reuters poll sported a wide range spanning from a minimum of 600k and a maximum of 655k. Turning to the Interactive Brokers Prediction Markets, the “Yeses” as 600k, 625k, 650k and 675k were priced at $0.71, $0.55, $0.24 and $0.15 on Monday.
Past performance is not indicative of future results.
US Gasoline Prices Likely Rose
Also on Monday, it appeared that gasoline prices averaged around $4.10 in the past seven days, according to the associated trading action in the closely tied energy futures markets. Costs almost certainly rose from the $4.049 reported in the last print, in my opinion, and as a result, the Interactive Brokers Prediction Markets had the “Yeses” at $3.95, $4.00 and $4.05 at $0.97, $0.97 and $0.92 on Monday for the following days gasoline data release.
Past performance is not indicative of future results.
Source for images: Interactive Brokers Prediction Markets.
Note: Prices are highest bids as of the morning of August 24, 2026.
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