The GOP’s chances of maintaining a majority in the US Senate after the upcoming midterm elections have fallen from 73% as of the start of the year to 54% as of Thursday as American consumer sentiment remains in the tombs due to elevated inflation, restrictive interest rates, reduced job openings, the Iran war and a perception that tariffs are raising price pressures. President Trump’s approval ratings have suffered as a result, and that has also weighed on the Republican Party’s prospects in this year’s midterm elections. However, it is typical to see the side in power lose seats in the congressional contests two years after its nominee for head of state wins at the ballots. Meanwhile, in the House of Representatives, the Democrats continue to maintain a sizeable advantage of 82%, which started the year at 75%.
Hong Kong CPI Expected to Come In Around 1.3%
Friday’s Hong Kong Consumer Price Index was expected to arrive around 1.3% with participants pricing a number above 1% at 93% on Thursday while considering a figure that fails to exceed 1.5% with an 82% degree of confidence. But the monthly Reuters poll of 7 forecasters carried a median estimate of 1.6% against the backdrop of minimum and maximum values of 1.4% and 1.7%.
Source for images: ForecastEx
Note: Prices are highest bids as of the morning of March 19, 2026. Time until market closing was also as of the morning of March 19, 2026. To learn more about ForecastEx, view our Traders’ Academy video here.
Disclaimer:
Forecast Contracts are only available to eligible clients of Interactive Brokers LLC, Interactive Brokers Canada Inc., Interactive Brokers Hong Kong Limited, Interactive Brokers Ireland Limited and Interactive Brokers Singapore Pte. Ltd.
Futures, event contracts and forecast contracts are not suitable for all investors. Before trading these products, please read the Forecast Contract Risk Disclosure. Displayed outcomes and prices are based on real-time market sentiment from ForecastEx LLC, an affiliate of Interactive Brokers Group. Interactive Brokers Ireland Limited does not make recommendations with respect to any products available on its platform, including those offered by ForecastEx.
Disclosure: Interactive Brokers Affiliate
Information posted on IBKR Campus that is provided by third-parties does NOT constitute a recommendation that you should contract for the services of that third party. Third-party participants who contribute to IBKR Campus are independent of Interactive Brokers and Interactive Brokers does not make any representations or warranties concerning the services offered, their past or future performance, or the accuracy of the information provided by the third party. Past performance is no guarantee of future results.
This material is from IBKR Macroeconomics, an affiliate of Interactive Brokers LLC, and is being posted with its permission. The views expressed in this material are solely those of the author and/or IBKR Macroeconomics and Interactive Brokers is not endorsing or recommending any investment or trading discussed in the material. This material is not and should not be construed as an offer to buy or sell any security. It should not be construed as research or investment advice or a recommendation to buy, sell or hold any security or commodity. This material does not and is not intended to take into account the particular financial conditions, investment objectives or requirements of individual customers. Before acting on this material, you should consider whether it is suitable for your particular circumstances and, as necessary, seek professional advice.
Join The Conversation
If you have a general question, it may already be covered in our FAQs page. go to: IBKR Ireland FAQs or IBKR U.K. FAQs. If you have an account-specific question or concern, please reach out to Client Services: IBKR Ireland or IBKR U.K..
Visit IBKR U.K. Open an IBKR U.K. Account