{"id":218396,"date":"2026-09-28T10:43:24","date_gmt":"2026-09-28T10:43:24","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/ibkrcampus.eu\/campus\/?p=218396"},"modified":"2026-09-28T13:45:11","modified_gmt":"2026-09-28T13:45:11","slug":"nantucket-to-face-strongest-winds-during-the-noreaster-with-a-52-chance-of-exceeding-57-mph-sept-25-2026","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.interactivebrokers.eu\/campus\/traders-insight\/nantucket-to-face-strongest-winds-during-the-noreaster-with-a-52-chance-of-exceeding-57-mph-sept-25-2026\/","title":{"rendered":"Nantucket to Face Strongest Winds During the Nor\u2019Easter, With a 52% Chance of Exceeding 57 MPH : Sept. 25, 2026"},"content":{"rendered":"\n

<\/p>\n\n\n\n

ForecastEx added new prediction market contracts Friday morning to capture the expected changes in weather patterns though the Northeast during the subsequent two days and in Hawaii in the next several days. The nor\u2019easter storm and Hurricane Nola were projected to lift wind speeds in the upcoming few hours. When comparing the probabilities on Friday of the impact of the nor\u2019easter on cities across Massachusetts, New York and Rhode Island, Nantucket was expected to feel it the most, with a 52% chance of wind exceeding 57 miles per hour (MPH) by the end of Friday night. Martha\u2019s Vineyard, New York City, Providence and Boston were anticipated to experience lighter but still significant impacts, as there were 46%, 45%, 44% and 29% likelihoods of seeing speeds faster than 53, 44, 42 and 41 MPH, according to the Interactive Brokers Prediction Markets. These Northeastern environmental instruments had expirations on Friday, Sept. 25 and Saturday, Sept. 26.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\"Forecast<\/figure>\n\n\n\n

<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Hurricane Nolo Likely To Hit Hilo Hardest<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n

For Hurricane Nolo, a storm that was expected to affect Hawaii over the weekend, the highest wind gusts were anticipated to exist in Hilo, at a 35% probability as of Friday. Kahului and Honolulu were at 28% and 25%, meanwhile, when analyzing choices across Interactive Brokers Prediction Markets<\/a>. These contracts expire on Oct. 15<\/p>\n\n\n\n

<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\"Hurricane<\/figure>\n\n\n\n

<\/p>\n\n\n\n

<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Deeper Dive with Dr. Patrick Brown<\/strong><\/em><\/p>\n\n\n\n

The nor\u2019easter approaching the Northeast coast, Hurricane Polo moving toward Baja California, and Hurricane Nolo south of Hawaii<\/strong><\/a><\/strong><\/em><\/p>\n\n\n\n

Source for images: Interactive Brokers Prediction Markets.<\/em><\/em><\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n

Note: Prices are highest bids as of the morning of Sept. 25, 2026.<\/a><\/em> <\/p>\n\n\n\n

To learn more about IBKR Climate & Energy, view Dr. Patrick Brown\u2019s content <\/em>here<\/strong><\/em><\/a><\/p>\n\n\n\n

Disclaimer:<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Forecast Contracts are only available to eligible clients of Interactive Brokers LLC, Interactive Brokers Canada Inc., Interactive Brokers Hong Kong Limited, Interactive Brokers Ireland Limited and Interactive Brokers Singapore Pte. Ltd. For Interactive Brokers Ireland Limited, Forecast Contracts are only available to clients categorized as Professional Clients under MiFID II. Clients of Interactive Brokers Ireland Limited who are residents of Belgium are not eligible to trade Forecast Contracts<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Futures, event contracts and forecast contracts are not suitable for all investors. Before trading these products, please read the Forecast Contract Risk Disclosure. Displayed outcomes and prices are based on real-time market sentiment from ForecastEx LLC, an affiliate of Interactive Brokers Group. Interactive Brokers Ireland Limited does not make recommendations with respect to any products available on its platform, including those offered by ForecastEx.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

<\/p>\n\n\n\n

<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

ForecastEx added new prediction market contracts Friday morning to capture the expected changes in weather patterns though the Northeast during the subsequent two days and in Hawaii in the next several days.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":903,"featured_media":218399,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"footnotes":"","jetpack_post_was_ever_published":false},"categories":[3164,148,7],"tags":[3398],"contributors-categories":[370],"class_list":["post-218396","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","category-prediction-market","category-text-articles","category-traders-insight","tag-prediction-markets","contributors-categories-ibkr-macroeconomics"],"pp_statuses_selecting_workflow":false,"pp_workflow_action":"current","pp_status_selection":"publish","acf":[],"yoast_head":"\nNantucket to Face Strongest Winds During the Nor\u2019Easter, With a 52% Chance of Exceeding 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