{"id":216599,"date":"2026-08-06T13:47:34","date_gmt":"2026-08-06T13:47:34","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/ibkrcampus.eu\/campus\/?p=216599"},"modified":"2026-08-07T13:06:38","modified_gmt":"2026-08-07T13:06:38","slug":"with-the-last-5-of-6-wei-reports-below-3-the-no-at-that-threshold-was-0-71-aug-5-2026","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.interactivebrokers.eu\/campus\/traders-insight\/with-the-last-5-of-6-wei-reports-below-3-the-no-at-that-threshold-was-0-71-aug-5-2026\/","title":{"rendered":"With the Last 5 of 6 WEI Reports Below 3%, the \u201cNo\u201d at that Threshold was $0.71: Aug. 5, 2026"},"content":{"rendered":"\n

<\/p>\n\n\n\n

The US Dallas Fed\u2019s Weekly Economic Index (WEI) had averaged 2.69% across the past six prints, as of Wednesday and just one of those readings was above 3%. Furthermore, the 3% level had only been conquered once last year and four times year to date in 2026. Meanwhile, the three most recent releases as of Wednesday were all below 3% and sported a mean of 2.64%, while labor conditions, a critical variable in the indicator\u2019s calculation, appeared to be decelerating. Against this backdrop, on Wednesday I believed the $0.71 \u201cNo\u201d Interactive Brokers Prediction Markets contract with a 3% threshold was undervalued as it should have cost closer to $0.87. Over and under, the \u201cNos\u201d at 3.2%, 2.8%, 2.6% and 2.4% are going for $0.86, $0.53, $0.35 and $0.18.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\"Prediction<\/figure>\n\n\n\n

past performance is not indicative of future results.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Source for images: Interactive Brokers Prediction Markets.<\/em><\/p>\n\n\n\n

Note: Prices are highest bids as of the morning of August 5, 2026.<\/a><\/em> <\/p>\n\n\n\n

Learn more about ForecastEx <\/em>here<\/a>  <\/em><\/p>\n\n\n\n

<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Disclaimer:
Forecast Contracts are only available to eligible clients of Interactive Brokers LLC, Interactive Brokers Canada Inc., Interactive Brokers Hong Kong Limited, Interactive Brokers Ireland Limited and Interactive Brokers Singapore Pte. Ltd.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Futures, event contracts and forecast contracts are not suitable for all investors. Before trading these products, please read the Forecast Contract Risk Disclosure. Displayed outcomes and prices are based on real-time market sentiment from ForecastEx LLC, an affiliate of Interactive Brokers Group. Interactive Brokers Ireland Limited does not make recommendations with respect to any products available on its platform, including those offered by ForecastEx.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

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