{"id":215963,"date":"2026-07-22T13:35:37","date_gmt":"2026-07-22T13:35:37","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/ibkrcampus.eu\/campus\/?p=215963"},"modified":"2026-07-23T09:45:05","modified_gmt":"2026-07-23T09:45:05","slug":"singapore-1-8-cpi-yes-contract-at-0-54-on-tuesday-was-likely-undervalued-in-light-of-2-expectation","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.interactivebrokers.eu\/campus\/traders-insight\/prediction-market\/singapore-1-8-cpi-yes-contract-at-0-54-on-tuesday-was-likely-undervalued-in-light-of-2-expectation\/","title":{"rendered":"Singapore 1.8% CPI \u201cYes\u201d Contract\u00a0At $0.54\u00a0On Tuesday Was\u00a0Likely Undervalued\u00a0In\u00a0Light of 2% Expectation\u00a0"},"content":{"rendered":"\n

On Tuesday, economists and analysts anticipated that Thursday\u2019s release of the Singapore Consumer Price Index would reflect an acceleration from May’s 1.8% year-over-year increase to 2% for June. The nation’s significant reliance on energy imports likely pushed up the rate of inflation as an unchanged figure or a decline appeared improbable, in my opinion. Against this backdrop, the “Yes” Interactive Brokers Prediction Market contract<\/a> with a 1.8% threshold appeared to be potentially undervalued at $0.54 as of Tuesday, because I believe the CPI is poised for an uptick. The contract would pay $1 for a CPI print that exceeds 1.8%. <\/p>\n\n\n\n

The consensus agrees with my outlook for the inflation gauge as none of the participants in the monthly Reuters poll consisting of 16 forecasters anticipated a decline, with the minimum and maximum projections standing at 1.9% and 2.3% amidst a median of 2%. <\/p>\n\n\n\n


Note: Prices are highest bids as of the morning of\u00a0July\u00a021, 2026.<\/em>\u202f\u00a0<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\"\"<\/figure>\n\n\n\n

Learn more about\u00a0ForecastEx\u202f<\/em>here<\/em><\/strong><\/a>\u00a0

Disclaimer:<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Forecast Contracts are only available to eligible clients of Interactive Brokers LLC, Interactive Brokers Canada Inc., Interactive Brokers Hong Kong Limited, Interactive Brokers Ireland Limited and Interactive Brokers Singapore Pte. Ltd.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Futures, event contracts and forecast contracts are not suitable for all investors. Before trading these products, please read the Forecast Contract Risk Disclosure<\/a>. Displayed outcomes and prices are based on real-time market sentiment from ForecastEx LLC, an affiliate of Interactive Brokers Group. Interactive Brokers Ireland Limited does not make recommendations with respect to any products available on its platform, including those offered by ForecastEx.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

On Tuesday, economists and analysts anticipated that Thursday\u2019s release of the Singapore Consumer Price Index would reflect an acceleration from May’s 1.8% year-over-year increase to 2% for June. The nation’s significant reliance on energy imports likely pushed up the rate of inflation as an unchanged figure or a decline appeared improbable, in my opinion. Against this backdrop, the “Yes” Interactive Brokers Prediction Market contract with a 1.8% threshold appeared to be potentially undervalued at $0.54 as of Tuesday, because I believe the […]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":903,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"footnotes":"","jetpack_post_was_ever_published":false},"categories":[151,3164,146,7],"tags":[4507],"contributors-categories":[149],"class_list":["post-215963","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","category-asia","category-prediction-market","category-macro","category-traders-insight","tag-forecast-ex","contributors-categories-interactive-brokers"],"pp_statuses_selecting_workflow":false,"pp_workflow_action":"current","pp_status_selection":"publish","acf":[],"yoast_head":"\nSingapore 1.8% CPI \u201cYes\u201d Contract\u00a0At $0.54\u00a0On Tuesday Was\u00a0Likely Undervalued\u00a0In\u00a0Light of 2% Expectation\u00a0<\/title>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n<link rel=\"canonical\" href=\"https:\/\/www.interactivebrokers.eu\/campus\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/215963\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:locale\" content=\"en_US\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:type\" content=\"article\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:title\" content=\"Singapore 1.8% CPI \u201cYes\u201d Contract\u00a0At $0.54\u00a0On Tuesday Was\u00a0Likely Undervalued\u00a0In\u00a0Light of 2% Expectation\u00a0\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:description\" content=\"On Tuesday, economists and analysts anticipated that Thursday\u2019s release of the Singapore Consumer Price Index would reflect an acceleration from May’s 1.8% year-over-year increase to 2% for June. 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