{"id":213639,"date":"2026-06-05T09:34:57","date_gmt":"2026-06-05T09:34:57","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/ibkrcampus.eu\/campus\/?p=213639"},"modified":"2026-06-10T14:10:07","modified_gmt":"2026-06-10T14:10:07","slug":"expectations-for-us-nonfarm-payrolls-june-4-2026","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.interactivebrokers.eu\/campus\/traders-insight\/expectations-for-us-nonfarm-payrolls-june-4-2026\/","title":{"rendered":"Expectations for US Nonfarm Payrolls: June 4, 2026"},"content":{"rendered":"\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">On Thursday, investors anticipated that the following day\u2019s US nonfarm payrolls report would reflect ongoing cyclical strength amidst subdued joblessness. Participants in the Interactive Brokers prediction market pointed to a number around 98k as the most likely May figure, as the \u201cNo\u201d contracts at the 50k, 100k and 150k thresholds were priced at $0.29, $0.51 and $0.85. The anticipated statistic would be a modest slowdown from April\u2019s 115k, and the path to a sizeable beat didn\u2019t appear to be in the cards when examining the range of the economist consensus forecasts. Indeed, the 85k median estimate across the 70 forecasters surveyed in the monthly Reuters poll carried minimum and maximum projections of 50k and 125k as of Thursday. Still, this indicator sustains an elevated deviation rate, meaning that its historical tendencies include the potential to surprise significantly.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><\/p>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image size-full\"><img decoding=\"async\" width=\"978\" height=\"633\" data-src=\"https:\/\/www.interactivebrokers.eu\/campus\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/3\/2026\/06\/image-1.png\" alt=\"US Payroll Employment, Predictive market prices, line chart.\" class=\"wp-image-213640 lazyload\" data-srcset=\"https:\/\/ibkrcampus.eu\/campus\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/3\/2026\/06\/image-1.png 978w, https:\/\/ibkrcampus.eu\/campus\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/3\/2026\/06\/image-1-700x453.png 700w, https:\/\/ibkrcampus.eu\/campus\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/3\/2026\/06\/image-1-300x194.png 300w, https:\/\/ibkrcampus.eu\/campus\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/3\/2026\/06\/image-1-768x497.png 768w\" data-sizes=\"(max-width: 978px) 100vw, 978px\" src=\"data:image\/svg+xml;base64,PHN2ZyB3aWR0aD0iMSIgaGVpZ2h0PSIxIiB4bWxucz0iaHR0cDovL3d3dy53My5vcmcvMjAwMC9zdmciPjwvc3ZnPg==\" style=\"--smush-placeholder-width: 978px; aspect-ratio: 978\/633;\" \/><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><em><strong>US Unemployment To Remain at 4.3% <\/strong><\/em><em><strong><\/strong><\/em><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><em>The unemployment rate published in the same report is expected to remain unchanged at 4.3%, as the \u201cYeses\u201d at 4.2% and 4.3% were priced at $0.70 and $0.33 within the Interactive Brokers prediction market on Thursday. Meanwhile, there was just a 6% chance of a result exceeding 4.4%. The 70 forecasters surveyed in the monthly Reuters poll also pointed to a narrow range of potential outcomes, with 4.2% and 4.4% serving as the minimum and maximum entries. <\/em><em><\/em><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><\/p>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image size-full\"><img decoding=\"async\" width=\"980\" height=\"618\" data-src=\"https:\/\/www.interactivebrokers.eu\/campus\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/3\/2026\/06\/image-5.png\" alt=\"US Unemployment Rate, Predictive market prices, line chart.\" class=\"wp-image-213641 lazyload\" data-srcset=\"https:\/\/ibkrcampus.eu\/campus\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/3\/2026\/06\/image-5.png 980w, https:\/\/ibkrcampus.eu\/campus\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/3\/2026\/06\/image-5-700x441.png 700w, https:\/\/ibkrcampus.eu\/campus\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/3\/2026\/06\/image-5-300x189.png 300w, https:\/\/ibkrcampus.eu\/campus\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/3\/2026\/06\/image-5-768x484.png 768w\" data-sizes=\"(max-width: 980px) 100vw, 980px\" src=\"data:image\/svg+xml;base64,PHN2ZyB3aWR0aD0iMSIgaGVpZ2h0PSIxIiB4bWxucz0iaHR0cDovL3d3dy53My5vcmcvMjAwMC9zdmciPjwvc3ZnPg==\" style=\"--smush-placeholder-width: 980px; aspect-ratio: 980\/618;\" \/><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><em><strong>Canada\u2019s Unemployment Is Volatile <\/strong><\/em><em><strong><\/strong><\/em><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><em>Canada\u2019s jobs report, also scheduled for Friday, includes an unemployment rate with higher historical volatility than its southern neighbor. Indeed, the potential for an unexpected result closely mirrors the US payrolls print, which has posted significant surprises more often than average. The consensus estimate from the Reuters poll of 70 forecasters stands at 6.9%, which would be unchanged from April amidst minimum and maximum expectations of 6.8% and 7%. The Interactive Brokers prediction market on Thursday became increasingly open minded regarding a potential downside miss, however, with the \u201cYeses\u201d at 6.5%, 6.6%, 6.7% and 6.8% costing $0.84, $0.76, $0.57 and $0.39. The \u201cYes\u201d at 6.9% was price for just $0.21, meanwhile. <\/em><em><\/em><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><\/p>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image size-full\"><img decoding=\"async\" width=\"989\" height=\"627\" data-src=\"https:\/\/www.interactivebrokers.eu\/campus\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/3\/2026\/06\/image-10.png\" alt=\"Canada Unemployment Rate, Predictive market prices, line chart.\" class=\"wp-image-213642 lazyload\" data-srcset=\"https:\/\/ibkrcampus.eu\/campus\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/3\/2026\/06\/image-10.png 989w, https:\/\/ibkrcampus.eu\/campus\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/3\/2026\/06\/image-10-700x444.png 700w, https:\/\/ibkrcampus.eu\/campus\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/3\/2026\/06\/image-10-300x190.png 300w, https:\/\/ibkrcampus.eu\/campus\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/3\/2026\/06\/image-10-768x487.png 768w\" data-sizes=\"(max-width: 989px) 100vw, 989px\" src=\"data:image\/svg+xml;base64,PHN2ZyB3aWR0aD0iMSIgaGVpZ2h0PSIxIiB4bWxucz0iaHR0cDovL3d3dy53My5vcmcvMjAwMC9zdmciPjwvc3ZnPg==\" style=\"--smush-placeholder-width: 989px; aspect-ratio: 989\/627;\" \/><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><em>Source for images: ForecastEx<\/em><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><em>Note: Prices are highest bids as of the morning of <a>June 4, 2026.<\/a><\/em>&nbsp;<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><em>Learn more about ForecastEx <\/em><a href=\"https:\/\/www.interactivebrokers.ie\/predictionmarkets\/en\/home.php\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\"><em><strong>here<\/strong><\/em><\/a><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Disclaimer:<br>Forecast Contracts are only available to eligible clients of Interactive Brokers LLC, Interactive Brokers Canada Inc., Interactive Brokers Hong Kong Limited, Interactive Brokers Ireland Limited and Interactive Brokers Singapore Pte. Ltd.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Futures, event contracts and forecast contracts are not suitable for all investors. Before trading these products, please read the Forecast Contract Risk Disclosure. Displayed outcomes and prices are based on real-time market sentiment from ForecastEx LLC, an affiliate of Interactive Brokers Group. Interactive Brokers Ireland Limited does not make recommendations with respect to any products available on its platform, including those offered by ForecastEx.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>On Thursday, investors anticipated that the following day\u2019s US nonfarm payrolls report would reflect ongoing cyclical strength amidst subdued joblessness. Participants in the Interactive Brokers prediction market pointed to a number around 98k as the most likely May figure, as the \u201cNo\u201d contracts at the 50k, 100k and 150k thresholds were priced at $0.29, $0.51 and $0.85. <\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":903,"featured_media":213645,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"footnotes":"","jetpack_post_was_ever_published":false},"categories":[3164,148,7],"tags":[3398],"contributors-categories":[370],"class_list":["post-213639","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","category-prediction-market","category-text-articles","category-traders-insight","tag-prediction-markets","contributors-categories-ibkr-macroeconomics"],"pp_statuses_selecting_workflow":false,"pp_workflow_action":"current","pp_status_selection":"publish","acf":[],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO Premium plugin v26.9 (Yoast SEO v27.8) - https:\/\/yoast.com\/product\/yoast-seo-premium-wordpress\/ -->\n<title>Expectations for US Nonfarm Payrolls: June 4, 2026<\/title>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n<link rel=\"canonical\" href=\"https:\/\/www.interactivebrokers.eu\/campus\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/213639\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:locale\" content=\"en_US\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:type\" content=\"article\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:title\" content=\"Expectations for US Nonfarm Payrolls: June 4, 2026\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:description\" content=\"On Thursday, investors anticipated that the following day\u2019s US nonfarm payrolls report would reflect ongoing cyclical strength amidst subdued joblessness. Participants in the Interactive Brokers prediction market pointed to a number around 98k as the most likely May figure, as the \u201cNo\u201d contracts at the 50k, 100k and 150k thresholds were priced at $0.29, $0.51 and $0.85.\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:url\" content=\"https:\/\/www.interactivebrokers.eu\/campus\/traders-insight\/expectations-for-us-nonfarm-payrolls-june-4-2026\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:site_name\" content=\"IBKR Campus EU\" \/>\n<meta property=\"article:published_time\" content=\"2026-06-05T09:34:57+00:00\" \/>\n<meta property=\"article:modified_time\" content=\"2026-06-10T14:10:07+00:00\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:image\" content=\"https:\/\/www.interactivebrokers.eu\/campus\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/3\/2026\/06\/payroll.jpg\" \/>\n\t<meta property=\"og:image:width\" content=\"1000\" \/>\n\t<meta property=\"og:image:height\" content=\"563\" \/>\n\t<meta property=\"og:image:type\" content=\"image\/jpeg\" \/>\n<meta name=\"author\" content=\"Jose Torres\" \/>\n<meta name=\"twitter:card\" content=\"summary_large_image\" \/>\n<meta name=\"twitter:label1\" content=\"Written by\" \/>\n\t<meta name=\"twitter:data1\" content=\"Jose Torres\" \/>\n\t<meta name=\"twitter:label2\" content=\"Est. reading time\" \/>\n\t<meta name=\"twitter:data2\" content=\"3 minutes\" \/>\n<script type=\"application\/ld+json\" class=\"yoast-schema-graph\">{\n\t    \"@context\": \"https:\\\/\\\/schema.org\",\n\t    \"@graph\": [\n\t        {\n\t            \"@type\": \"Article\",\n\t            \"@id\": \"https:\\\/\\\/ibkrcampus.eu\\\/campus\\\/traders-insight\\\/expectations-for-us-nonfarm-payrolls-june-4-2026\\\/#article\",\n\t            \"isPartOf\": {\n\t                \"@id\": \"https:\\\/\\\/ibkrcampus.eu\\\/campus\\\/traders-insight\\\/expectations-for-us-nonfarm-payrolls-june-4-2026\\\/\"\n\t            },\n\t            \"author\": {\n\t                \"name\": \"Jose Torres\",\n\t                \"@id\": \"https:\\\/\\\/ibkrcampus.eu\\\/campus\\\/#\\\/schema\\\/person\\\/92c2be3b6162d92fb996417221509b6e\"\n\t            },\n\t            \"headline\": \"Expectations for US Nonfarm Payrolls: June 4, 2026\",\n\t            \"datePublished\": \"2026-06-05T09:34:57+00:00\",\n\t            \"dateModified\": \"2026-06-10T14:10:07+00:00\",\n\t            \"mainEntityOfPage\": {\n\t                \"@id\": \"https:\\\/\\\/ibkrcampus.eu\\\/campus\\\/traders-insight\\\/expectations-for-us-nonfarm-payrolls-june-4-2026\\\/\"\n\t            },\n\t            \"wordCount\": 434,\n\t            \"commentCount\": 0,\n\t            \"image\": {\n\t                \"@id\": \"https:\\\/\\\/ibkrcampus.eu\\\/campus\\\/traders-insight\\\/expectations-for-us-nonfarm-payrolls-june-4-2026\\\/#primaryimage\"\n\t            },\n\t            \"thumbnailUrl\": \"https:\\\/\\\/www.interactivebrokers.eu\\\/campus\\\/wp-content\\\/uploads\\\/sites\\\/3\\\/2026\\\/06\\\/payroll.jpg\",\n\t            \"keywords\": [\n\t                \"prediction markets\"\n\t            ],\n\t            \"articleSection\": [\n\t                \"IBKR Prediction Markets\",\n\t                \"Text Articles\",\n\t                \"Traders' Insight\"\n\t            ],\n\t            \"inLanguage\": \"en-US\",\n\t            \"potentialAction\": [\n\t                {\n\t                    \"@type\": \"CommentAction\",\n\t                    \"name\": \"Comment\",\n\t                    \"target\": [\n\t                        \"https:\\\/\\\/ibkrcampus.eu\\\/campus\\\/traders-insight\\\/expectations-for-us-nonfarm-payrolls-june-4-2026\\\/#respond\"\n\t                    ]\n\t                }\n\t            ]\n\t        },\n\t        {\n\t            \"@type\": \"WebPage\",\n\t            \"@id\": \"https:\\\/\\\/ibkrcampus.eu\\\/campus\\\/traders-insight\\\/expectations-for-us-nonfarm-payrolls-june-4-2026\\\/\",\n\t            \"url\": \"https:\\\/\\\/ibkrcampus.eu\\\/campus\\\/traders-insight\\\/expectations-for-us-nonfarm-payrolls-june-4-2026\\\/\",\n\t            \"name\": \"Expectations for US Nonfarm Payrolls: June 4, 2026 - IBKR Campus EU\",\n\t            \"isPartOf\": {\n\t                \"@id\": \"https:\\\/\\\/ibkrcampus.eu\\\/campus\\\/#website\"\n\t            },\n\t            \"primaryImageOfPage\": {\n\t                \"@id\": \"https:\\\/\\\/ibkrcampus.eu\\\/campus\\\/traders-insight\\\/expectations-for-us-nonfarm-payrolls-june-4-2026\\\/#primaryimage\"\n\t            },\n\t            \"image\": {\n\t                \"@id\": \"https:\\\/\\\/ibkrcampus.eu\\\/campus\\\/traders-insight\\\/expectations-for-us-nonfarm-payrolls-june-4-2026\\\/#primaryimage\"\n\t            },\n\t            \"thumbnailUrl\": \"https:\\\/\\\/www.interactivebrokers.eu\\\/campus\\\/wp-content\\\/uploads\\\/sites\\\/3\\\/2026\\\/06\\\/payroll.jpg\",\n\t            \"datePublished\": \"2026-06-05T09:34:57+00:00\",\n\t            \"dateModified\": \"2026-06-10T14:10:07+00:00\",\n\t            \"author\": {\n\t                \"@id\": \"https:\\\/\\\/ibkrcampus.eu\\\/campus\\\/#\\\/schema\\\/person\\\/92c2be3b6162d92fb996417221509b6e\"\n\t            },\n\t            \"breadcrumb\": {\n\t                \"@id\": \"https:\\\/\\\/ibkrcampus.eu\\\/campus\\\/traders-insight\\\/expectations-for-us-nonfarm-payrolls-june-4-2026\\\/#breadcrumb\"\n\t            },\n\t            \"inLanguage\": \"en-US\",\n\t            \"potentialAction\": [\n\t                {\n\t                    \"@type\": \"ReadAction\",\n\t                    \"target\": [\n\t                        \"https:\\\/\\\/ibkrcampus.eu\\\/campus\\\/traders-insight\\\/expectations-for-us-nonfarm-payrolls-june-4-2026\\\/\"\n\t                    ]\n\t                }\n\t            ]\n\t        },\n\t        {\n\t            \"@type\": \"ImageObject\",\n\t            \"inLanguage\": \"en-US\",\n\t            \"@id\": \"https:\\\/\\\/ibkrcampus.eu\\\/campus\\\/traders-insight\\\/expectations-for-us-nonfarm-payrolls-june-4-2026\\\/#primaryimage\",\n\t            \"url\": \"https:\\\/\\\/www.interactivebrokers.eu\\\/campus\\\/wp-content\\\/uploads\\\/sites\\\/3\\\/2026\\\/06\\\/payroll.jpg\",\n\t            \"contentUrl\": \"https:\\\/\\\/www.interactivebrokers.eu\\\/campus\\\/wp-content\\\/uploads\\\/sites\\\/3\\\/2026\\\/06\\\/payroll.jpg\",\n\t            \"width\": 1000,\n\t            \"height\": 563\n\t        },\n\t        {\n\t            \"@type\": \"BreadcrumbList\",\n\t            \"@id\": \"https:\\\/\\\/ibkrcampus.eu\\\/campus\\\/traders-insight\\\/expectations-for-us-nonfarm-payrolls-june-4-2026\\\/#breadcrumb\",\n\t            \"itemListElement\": [\n\t                {\n\t                    \"@type\": \"ListItem\",\n\t                    \"position\": 1,\n\t                    \"name\": \"Home\",\n\t                    \"item\": \"https:\\\/\\\/www.interactivebrokers.eu\\\/campus\\\/\"\n\t                },\n\t                {\n\t                    \"@type\": \"ListItem\",\n\t                    \"position\": 2,\n\t                    \"name\": \"Expectations for US Nonfarm Payrolls: June 4, 2026\"\n\t                }\n\t            ]\n\t        },\n\t        {\n\t            \"@type\": \"WebSite\",\n\t            \"@id\": \"https:\\\/\\\/ibkrcampus.eu\\\/campus\\\/#website\",\n\t            \"url\": \"https:\\\/\\\/ibkrcampus.eu\\\/campus\\\/\",\n\t            \"name\": \"IBKR Campus EU\",\n\t            \"description\": \"\",\n\t            \"potentialAction\": [\n\t                {\n\t                    \"@type\": \"SearchAction\",\n\t                    \"target\": {\n\t                        \"@type\": \"EntryPoint\",\n\t                        \"urlTemplate\": \"https:\\\/\\\/ibkrcampus.eu\\\/campus\\\/?s={search_term_string}\"\n\t                    },\n\t                    \"query-input\": {\n\t                        \"@type\": \"PropertyValueSpecification\",\n\t                        \"valueRequired\": true,\n\t                        \"valueName\": \"search_term_string\"\n\t                    }\n\t                }\n\t            ],\n\t            \"inLanguage\": \"en-US\"\n\t        },\n\t        {\n\t            \"@type\": \"Person\",\n\t            \"@id\": \"https:\\\/\\\/ibkrcampus.eu\\\/campus\\\/#\\\/schema\\\/person\\\/92c2be3b6162d92fb996417221509b6e\",\n\t            \"name\": \"Jose Torres\",\n\t            \"description\": \"Jos\u00e9 Torres is Senior Economist at Interactive Brokers. In this capacity, he is responsible for economic analysis, economic commentary and educational content focused on the economy. Prior to joining Interactive Brokers, Jos\u00e9 spent 6 years working as an economist in the United States government within the Federal Deposit Insurance Corporation (FDIC) and the Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS). During his time with the U.S. government, Jos\u00e9 frequently led presentations covering economic conditions and forecasts for elected officials, political appointees and senior management. He also built economic models, consulted with private sector executives, contributed to the modernization of economic processes and gained recognition for predicting the inflationary episode of the 2020s. Jos\u00e9 has also been a professor of economics at the City University of New York and holds a master\u2019s degree in financial economics from West Texas A&amp;M University. His skillset includes the ability to communicate and analyze complex economic topics in English and in Spanish and throughout his career, he has been interviewed by media outlets including Bloomberg, CNBC, CNN, WSJ, AP, Yahoo Finance, Cheddar, Business Insider, Seeking Alpha, PBS, FOX, Economic Times, Univision, Telemundo and others.\",\n\t            \"url\": \"https:\\\/\\\/www.interactivebrokers.eu\\\/campus\\\/author\\\/jose-torres\\\/\"\n\t        }\n\t    ]\n\t}<\/script>\n<!-- \/ Yoast SEO Premium plugin. -->","yoast_head_json":{"title":"Expectations for US Nonfarm Payrolls: June 4, 2026","robots":{"index":"index","follow":"follow","max-snippet":"max-snippet:-1","max-image-preview":"max-image-preview:large","max-video-preview":"max-video-preview:-1"},"canonical":"https:\/\/www.interactivebrokers.eu\/campus\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/213639\/","og_locale":"en_US","og_type":"article","og_title":"Expectations for US Nonfarm Payrolls: June 4, 2026","og_description":"On Thursday, investors anticipated that the following day\u2019s US nonfarm payrolls report would reflect ongoing cyclical strength amidst subdued joblessness. Participants in the Interactive Brokers prediction market pointed to a number around 98k as the most likely May figure, as the \u201cNo\u201d contracts at the 50k, 100k and 150k thresholds were priced at $0.29, $0.51 and $0.85.","og_url":"https:\/\/www.interactivebrokers.eu\/campus\/traders-insight\/expectations-for-us-nonfarm-payrolls-june-4-2026\/","og_site_name":"IBKR Campus EU","article_published_time":"2026-06-05T09:34:57+00:00","article_modified_time":"2026-06-10T14:10:07+00:00","og_image":[{"width":1000,"height":563,"url":"https:\/\/www.interactivebrokers.eu\/campus\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/3\/2026\/06\/payroll.jpg","type":"image\/jpeg"}],"author":"Jose Torres","twitter_card":"summary_large_image","twitter_misc":{"Written by":"Jose Torres","Est. reading time":"3 minutes"},"schema":{"@context":"https:\/\/schema.org","@graph":[{"@type":"Article","@id":"https:\/\/ibkrcampus.eu\/campus\/traders-insight\/expectations-for-us-nonfarm-payrolls-june-4-2026\/#article","isPartOf":{"@id":"https:\/\/ibkrcampus.eu\/campus\/traders-insight\/expectations-for-us-nonfarm-payrolls-june-4-2026\/"},"author":{"name":"Jose Torres","@id":"https:\/\/ibkrcampus.eu\/campus\/#\/schema\/person\/92c2be3b6162d92fb996417221509b6e"},"headline":"Expectations for US Nonfarm Payrolls: June 4, 2026","datePublished":"2026-06-05T09:34:57+00:00","dateModified":"2026-06-10T14:10:07+00:00","mainEntityOfPage":{"@id":"https:\/\/ibkrcampus.eu\/campus\/traders-insight\/expectations-for-us-nonfarm-payrolls-june-4-2026\/"},"wordCount":434,"commentCount":0,"image":{"@id":"https:\/\/ibkrcampus.eu\/campus\/traders-insight\/expectations-for-us-nonfarm-payrolls-june-4-2026\/#primaryimage"},"thumbnailUrl":"https:\/\/www.interactivebrokers.eu\/campus\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/3\/2026\/06\/payroll.jpg","keywords":["prediction markets"],"articleSection":["IBKR Prediction Markets","Text Articles","Traders' Insight"],"inLanguage":"en-US","potentialAction":[{"@type":"CommentAction","name":"Comment","target":["https:\/\/ibkrcampus.eu\/campus\/traders-insight\/expectations-for-us-nonfarm-payrolls-june-4-2026\/#respond"]}]},{"@type":"WebPage","@id":"https:\/\/ibkrcampus.eu\/campus\/traders-insight\/expectations-for-us-nonfarm-payrolls-june-4-2026\/","url":"https:\/\/ibkrcampus.eu\/campus\/traders-insight\/expectations-for-us-nonfarm-payrolls-june-4-2026\/","name":"Expectations for US Nonfarm Payrolls: June 4, 2026 - IBKR Campus EU","isPartOf":{"@id":"https:\/\/ibkrcampus.eu\/campus\/#website"},"primaryImageOfPage":{"@id":"https:\/\/ibkrcampus.eu\/campus\/traders-insight\/expectations-for-us-nonfarm-payrolls-june-4-2026\/#primaryimage"},"image":{"@id":"https:\/\/ibkrcampus.eu\/campus\/traders-insight\/expectations-for-us-nonfarm-payrolls-june-4-2026\/#primaryimage"},"thumbnailUrl":"https:\/\/www.interactivebrokers.eu\/campus\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/3\/2026\/06\/payroll.jpg","datePublished":"2026-06-05T09:34:57+00:00","dateModified":"2026-06-10T14:10:07+00:00","author":{"@id":"https:\/\/ibkrcampus.eu\/campus\/#\/schema\/person\/92c2be3b6162d92fb996417221509b6e"},"breadcrumb":{"@id":"https:\/\/ibkrcampus.eu\/campus\/traders-insight\/expectations-for-us-nonfarm-payrolls-june-4-2026\/#breadcrumb"},"inLanguage":"en-US","potentialAction":[{"@type":"ReadAction","target":["https:\/\/ibkrcampus.eu\/campus\/traders-insight\/expectations-for-us-nonfarm-payrolls-june-4-2026\/"]}]},{"@type":"ImageObject","inLanguage":"en-US","@id":"https:\/\/ibkrcampus.eu\/campus\/traders-insight\/expectations-for-us-nonfarm-payrolls-june-4-2026\/#primaryimage","url":"https:\/\/www.interactivebrokers.eu\/campus\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/3\/2026\/06\/payroll.jpg","contentUrl":"https:\/\/www.interactivebrokers.eu\/campus\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/3\/2026\/06\/payroll.jpg","width":1000,"height":563},{"@type":"BreadcrumbList","@id":"https:\/\/ibkrcampus.eu\/campus\/traders-insight\/expectations-for-us-nonfarm-payrolls-june-4-2026\/#breadcrumb","itemListElement":[{"@type":"ListItem","position":1,"name":"Home","item":"https:\/\/www.interactivebrokers.eu\/campus\/"},{"@type":"ListItem","position":2,"name":"Expectations for US Nonfarm Payrolls: June 4, 2026"}]},{"@type":"WebSite","@id":"https:\/\/ibkrcampus.eu\/campus\/#website","url":"https:\/\/ibkrcampus.eu\/campus\/","name":"IBKR Campus EU","description":"","potentialAction":[{"@type":"SearchAction","target":{"@type":"EntryPoint","urlTemplate":"https:\/\/ibkrcampus.eu\/campus\/?s={search_term_string}"},"query-input":{"@type":"PropertyValueSpecification","valueRequired":true,"valueName":"search_term_string"}}],"inLanguage":"en-US"},{"@type":"Person","@id":"https:\/\/ibkrcampus.eu\/campus\/#\/schema\/person\/92c2be3b6162d92fb996417221509b6e","name":"Jose Torres","description":"Jos\u00e9 Torres is Senior Economist at Interactive Brokers. In this capacity, he is responsible for economic analysis, economic commentary and educational content focused on the economy. Prior to joining Interactive Brokers, Jos\u00e9 spent 6 years working as an economist in the United States government within the Federal Deposit Insurance Corporation (FDIC) and the Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS). During his time with the U.S. government, Jos\u00e9 frequently led presentations covering economic conditions and forecasts for elected officials, political appointees and senior management. He also built economic models, consulted with private sector executives, contributed to the modernization of economic processes and gained recognition for predicting the inflationary episode of the 2020s. Jos\u00e9 has also been a professor of economics at the City University of New York and holds a master\u2019s degree in financial economics from West Texas A&amp;M University. His skillset includes the ability to communicate and analyze complex economic topics in English and in Spanish and throughout his career, he has been interviewed by media outlets including Bloomberg, CNBC, CNN, WSJ, AP, Yahoo Finance, Cheddar, Business Insider, Seeking Alpha, PBS, FOX, Economic Times, Univision, Telemundo and others.","url":"https:\/\/www.interactivebrokers.eu\/campus\/author\/jose-torres\/"}]}},"jetpack_featured_media_url":"https:\/\/www.interactivebrokers.eu\/campus\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/3\/2026\/06\/payroll.jpg","_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/ibkrcampus.eu\/campus\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/213639","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/ibkrcampus.eu\/campus\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/ibkrcampus.eu\/campus\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/ibkrcampus.eu\/campus\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/903"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/ibkrcampus.eu\/campus\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=213639"}],"version-history":[{"count":1,"href":"https:\/\/ibkrcampus.eu\/campus\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/213639\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":213678,"href":"https:\/\/ibkrcampus.eu\/campus\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/213639\/revisions\/213678"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/ibkrcampus.eu\/campus\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/213645"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/ibkrcampus.eu\/campus\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=213639"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/ibkrcampus.eu\/campus\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=213639"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/ibkrcampus.eu\/campus\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=213639"},{"taxonomy":"contributors-categories","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/ibkrcampus.eu\/campus\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/contributors-categories?post=213639"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}