{"id":213318,"date":"2026-05-20T09:32:47","date_gmt":"2026-05-20T09:32:47","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/ibkrcampus.eu\/campus\/?p=213318"},"modified":"2026-05-21T08:51:26","modified_gmt":"2026-05-21T08:51:26","slug":"thursdays-hong-kong-cpi-expected-around-1-9-may-19-2026","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.interactivebrokers.eu\/campus\/traders-insight\/thursdays-hong-kong-cpi-expected-around-1-9-may-19-2026\/","title":{"rendered":"Thursday\u2019s Hong Kong CPI Expected Around 1.9%: May 19, 2026"},"content":{"rendered":"\n

Hong Kong\u2019s Consumer Price Index (CPI) is historically volatile, making it difficult to forecast. It sustains an elevated deviation rate, meaning it tends to arrive well off of the aggregate economist expectation. Emblematic of the past\u2019s wild swings, this coming Thursday\u2019s print has forecasters all over the place, as the monthly Reuters poll of eight analysts carries a wide range from 1.8% to 2.8%, with the median standing at 2%. The Interactive Brokers prediction market<\/a> on Tuesday, however, priced 67% and 6% likelihoods of numbers coming in ahead of 2% and 2.5%, as the odds pointed to 1.9% as the most likely headline figure. Meanwhile, the global surge in energy costs is expected to raise the gauge from its first three results of 2026, which were 1.1%, 1.7% and 1.7%, with the degree of the lift characterizing the debate. Those at 2% or below anticipate a minimal impact from crude oil remaining north of $100, while those above 2% project a more meaningful consequence.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\"IBKR<\/figure>\n\n\n\n

Source for images: ForecastEx<\/em> – Past performance is not indicative of future results.<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n

Note: Prices are highest bids as of the morning of May 19, 2026.<\/a><\/em> <\/p>\n\n\n\n

Learn more about ForecastEx <\/em>here<\/strong><\/em><\/a><\/p>\n\n\n\n

<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Disclaimer:
Forecast Contracts are only available to eligible clients of Interactive Brokers LLC, Interactive Brokers Canada Inc., Interactive Brokers Hong Kong Limited, Interactive Brokers Ireland Limited and Interactive Brokers Singapore Pte. Ltd.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Futures, event contracts and forecast contracts are not suitable for all investors. Before trading these products, please read the Forecast Contract Risk Disclosure. Displayed outcomes and prices are based on real-time market sentiment from ForecastEx LLC, an affiliate of Interactive Brokers Group. Interactive Brokers Ireland Limited does not make recommendations with respect to any products available on its platform, including those offered by ForecastEx.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

Hong Kong\u2019s Consumer Price Index (CPI) is historically volatile, making it difficult to forecast. It sustains an elevated deviation rate, meaning it tends to arrive well off of the aggregate economist expectation. Emblematic of the past\u2019s wild swings, this coming Thursday\u2019s print has forecasters all over the place, as the monthly Reuters poll of eight analysts carries a wide range from 1.8% to 2.8%, with the median standing at 2%.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":903,"featured_media":213320,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[3164,148,7],"tags":[3396,2162],"contributors-categories":[370],"class_list":{"0":"post-213318","1":"post","2":"type-post","3":"status-publish","4":"format-standard","5":"has-post-thumbnail","7":"category-forecast-trader","8":"category-text-articles","9":"category-traders-insight","10":"tag-forecast-contracts","11":"tag-forecast-trader","12":"contributors-categories-ibkr-macroeconomics"},"pp_statuses_selecting_workflow":false,"pp_workflow_action":"current","pp_status_selection":"publish","acf":[],"yoast_head":"\nThursday\u2019s Hong Kong CPI Expected Around 1.9%: May 19, 2026<\/title>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n<link rel=\"canonical\" href=\"https:\/\/www.interactivebrokers.eu\/campus\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/213318\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:locale\" content=\"en_US\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:type\" content=\"article\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:title\" content=\"Thursday\u2019s Hong Kong CPI Expected Around 1.9%: May 19, 2026\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:description\" content=\"Hong Kong\u2019s Consumer Price Index (CPI) is historically volatile, making it difficult to forecast. 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