{"id":212251,"date":"2026-03-23T10:30:00","date_gmt":"2026-03-23T14:30:00","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/ibkrcampus.eu\/campus\/uncategorized\/weekly-market-recap-week-of-march-23-2026\/"},"modified":"2026-03-26T10:36:06","modified_gmt":"2026-03-26T10:36:06","slug":"weekly-market-recap-week-of-march-23-2026","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.interactivebrokers.eu\/campus\/traders-insight\/securities\/macro\/weekly-market-recap-week-of-march-23-2026\/","title":{"rendered":"Weekly Market Recap: Week of March 23, 2026"},"content":{"rendered":"\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\" id=\"h-the-week-in-review\">The week in review<\/h2>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li>The Fed held rates steady at 3.50 \u2013 3.75%<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>PPI rose 0.7% m\/m<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\" id=\"h-the-week-ahead\">The week ahead<\/h2>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li>Markit PMIs<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>Consumer sentiment<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\" id=\"h-thought-of-the-week\">Thought of the Week<\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p>2026 is less than three months old, but it\u2019s already been through a lot. So far in the first quarter, software, the S&amp;P 500\u2019s second largest industry, fell by 20%, the Supreme Court struck down IEEPA tariffs, plunging global trade back into uncertainty, and war broke out in the Middle East. Oil prices rose by 70%, and markets shifted from pricing in two Fed rate cuts in 2026 to a 50% chance of a hike. Yet through it all, the S&amp;P 500 is only down 3%. Beneath the surface, these events are roiling company, sector and factor volatility. But, as this week\u2019s chart shows, dispersion is widening, which may be insulating the index. The average rolling 3-month pairwise correlation among stocks in the S&amp;P 500 is 13%, lower than it\u2019s been 98% of the time since 2022.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Divergences in the AI story are a major driver. Application companies in software, wealth management and law, to name a few, are down double digits, but pick and shovel industries like semiconductors and electrical components are still strongly positive, with the average stock up 13% YTD. Even the hyperscalers are not immune; their average rolling 3-month pairwise correlation is down to 23% versus an average of 56% from 2023 to 2025. But increasing dispersion isn\u2019t just about AI. At the sector level, the Middle East conflict may be responsible for the second widest YTD performance dispersion since 2002. A beneficiary has been the energy sector, which is up 33%. Financials, on the other hand, are down 11% as the yield curve has dramatically flattened, which hurts net interest margins, and geopolitical uncertainty is threatening the IPO and M&amp;A resurgence. For index investors, this increase in dispersion offers protection from volatility, but for active managers, it\u2019s also an opportunity to generate alpha.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image size-full\"><img decoding=\"async\" width=\"1012\" height=\"403\" data-src=\"https:\/\/www.interactivebrokers.com\/campus\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/2\/2026\/03\/Screenshot-2026-03-23-102106.png\" alt=\"S&amp;P 500 correlation and volatility\" class=\"wp-image-212252 lazyload\" data-srcset=\"https:\/\/ibkrcampus.eu\/campus\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/3\/2026\/03\/Screenshot-2026-03-23-102106.png 1012w, https:\/\/ibkrcampus.eu\/campus\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/3\/2026\/03\/Screenshot-2026-03-23-102106-700x279.png 700w, https:\/\/ibkrcampus.eu\/campus\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/3\/2026\/03\/Screenshot-2026-03-23-102106-300x119.png 300w, https:\/\/ibkrcampus.eu\/campus\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/3\/2026\/03\/Screenshot-2026-03-23-102106-768x306.png 768w\" data-sizes=\"(max-width: 1012px) 100vw, 1012px\" src=\"data:image\/svg+xml;base64,PHN2ZyB3aWR0aD0iMSIgaGVpZ2h0PSIxIiB4bWxucz0iaHR0cDovL3d3dy53My5vcmcvMjAwMC9zdmciPjwvc3ZnPg==\" style=\"--smush-placeholder-width: 1012px; aspect-ratio: 1012\/403;\" \/><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<p>Chart of the Week: Source: CBOE, FactSet, Standard &amp; Poor&#8217;s, J.P.<br>Morgan Asset Management. Data are as of March 19, 2026.<br>Thought of the week: Source: FactSet, Standard &amp; Poor&#8217;s, J.P. Morgan<br>Asset Management.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>\u2014<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Originally Posted March 23, 2026 \u2013\u00a0<a href=\"https:\/\/am.jpmorgan.com\/us\/en\/asset-management\/adv\/insights\/market-insights\/market-updates\/weekly-market-recap\/\">Weekly Market Recap<\/a><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><strong>Past performance does not guarantee future results.<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><strong>Diversification does not guarantee investment returns and does not eliminate the risk of loss.<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Opinions and estimates offered constitute our judgment and are subject to change without notice, as are statements of financial market trends, which are based on current market conditions. We believe the information provided here is reliable, but do not warrant its accuracy or completeness. This material is not intended as an offer or solicitation for the purchase or sale of any financial instrument. The views and strategies described may not be appropriate for all investors. This material has been prepared for informational purposes only, and is not intended to provide, and should not be relied on for, accounting, legal or tax advice. References to future returns are not promises or even estimates of actual returns a client portfolio may achieve. Any forecasts contained herein are for illustrative purposes only and are not to be relied upon as advice or interpreted as a recommendation.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>The Market Insights program provides comprehensive data and commentary on global markets without reference to products. Designed as a tool to help clients understand the markets and support investment decision-making, the program explores the implications of current economic data and changing market conditions.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>The J.P. Morgan Asset Management Market Insights and Portfolio Insights programs, as non-independent research, have not been prepared in accordance with legal requirements designed to promote the independence of investment research, nor are they subject to any prohibition on dealing ahead of the dissemination of investment research.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>This document is a general communication being provided for informational purposes only. It is educational in nature and not designed to be taken as advice or a recommendation for any specific investment product, strategy, plan feature<br>or other purpose in any jurisdiction, nor is it a commitment from J.P. Morgan Asset Management or any of its subsidiaries to participate in any of the transactions mentioned herein. Any examples used are generic, hypothetical and for illustration purposes only. This material does not contain sufficient information to support an investment decision and it should not be relied upon by you in evaluating the merits of investing in any securities or products. In addition, users should make an independent assessment of the legal, regulatory, tax, credit, and accounting implications and determine, together with their own financial professional, if any investment mentioned herein is believed to be appropriate to their personal goals. Investors should ensure that they obtain all available relevant information before making any investment.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Any forecasts, figures, opinions or investment techniques and strategies set out are for information purposes only, based on certain assumptions and current market conditions and are subject to change without prior notice. All information presented herein is considered to be accurate at the time of production, but no warranty of accuracy is given and no liability in respect of any error or omission is accepted. It should be noted that investment involves risks, the value of investments and the income from them may fluctuate in accordance with market conditions and taxation agreements and investors may not get back the full amount invested. Both past performance and yields are not reliable indicators of current and future results.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>J.P. Morgan Asset Management is the brand for the asset management business of JPMorgan Chase &amp; Co. and its affiliates worldwide.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Telephone calls and electronic communications may be monitored and\/or recorded.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Personal data will be collected, stored and processed by J.P. Morgan Asset Management in accordance with our privacy policies at https:\/\/www.jpmorgan.com\/privacy.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>This communication is issued in the United States, by J.P. Morgan Investment Management Inc. or J.P. Morgan Alternative Asset Management, Inc., both regulated by the Securities and Exchange Commission.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>If you are a person with a disability and need additional support in viewing the material, please call us at 1-800-343-1113 for assistance.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Copyright 2026 JPMorgan Chase &amp; Co. All rights reserved.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><sup>\u00a9<\/sup>JPMorgan Chase &amp; Co., March 2026.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Unless otherwise stated, all data is as of March 23, 2026 or as of most recently available.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>This week&#8217;s chart highlights widening stock dispersion in the S&amp;P 500, with energy up 33% and software down 20%, insulating the index from 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