{"id":211958,"date":"2026-03-11T10:27:06","date_gmt":"2026-03-11T10:27:06","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/ibkrcampus.eu\/campus\/?p=211958"},"modified":"2026-03-11T12:49:24","modified_gmt":"2026-03-11T12:49:24","slug":"forecasters-generally-anticipated-2-4-for-headline-cpi-2-5-for-core-march-10-2026","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.interactivebrokers.eu\/campus\/traders-insight\/forecasters-generally-anticipated-2-4-for-headline-cpi-2-5-for-core-march-10-2026\/","title":{"rendered":"Forecasters Generally Anticipated 2.4% For Headline CPI, 2.5% For Core: March 10, 2026"},"content":{"rendered":"\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><em>On Tuesday, IBKR ForecastTrader participants generally anticipated that the subsequent day\u2019s release of the US Consumer Price Index (CPI) would have a headline of <\/em><a href=\"https:\/\/forecasttrader.interactivebrokers.ie\/eventtrader\/#\/market-details?id=712856682%7C20260311%7C2.4%7CFebruary%202026%7Cexchange%3DFORECASTX\">2.4%<\/a><em> and a core result of <\/em><a href=\"https:\/\/forecasttrader.interactivebrokers.ie\/eventtrader\/#\/market-details?id=727520252%7C20260311%7C2.5%7CFebruary%202026\">2.5%.<\/a><em> Pricing across contracts in the former category signaled 94%, 76%, 45% and 10% probabilities of results exceeding 2.2%, 2.3%, 2.4% and 2.5% and conversely, there were 88%, 53% 22% and 4% likelihoods that the statistics would not arrive over 2.5%, 2.4%, 2.3% and 2.2%. Meanwhile, the monthly Reuters poll of 49 forecasters has a median of 2.4% amidst minimum and maximum values of 2.3% and 2.6%.<\/em><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><\/p>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image size-large\"><img decoding=\"async\" width=\"1100\" height=\"119\" data-src=\"https:\/\/www.interactivebrokers.eu\/campus\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/3\/2026\/03\/image-28-1100x119.png\" alt=\"IBKR ForecastTrader contract regarding US CPI\" class=\"wp-image-211959 lazyload\" data-srcset=\"https:\/\/ibkrcampus.eu\/campus\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/3\/2026\/03\/image-28-1100x119.png 1100w, https:\/\/ibkrcampus.eu\/campus\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/3\/2026\/03\/image-28-700x75.png 700w, https:\/\/ibkrcampus.eu\/campus\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/3\/2026\/03\/image-28-300x32.png 300w, https:\/\/ibkrcampus.eu\/campus\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/3\/2026\/03\/image-28-768x83.png 768w, https:\/\/ibkrcampus.eu\/campus\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/3\/2026\/03\/image-28-1536x165.png 1536w, https:\/\/ibkrcampus.eu\/campus\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/3\/2026\/03\/image-28.png 1578w\" data-sizes=\"(max-width: 1100px) 100vw, 1100px\" src=\"data:image\/svg+xml;base64,PHN2ZyB3aWR0aD0iMSIgaGVpZ2h0PSIxIiB4bWxucz0iaHR0cDovL3d3dy53My5vcmcvMjAwMC9zdmciPjwvc3ZnPg==\" style=\"--smush-placeholder-width: 1100px; aspect-ratio: 1100\/119;\" \/><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><\/p>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image size-full\"><img decoding=\"async\" width=\"710\" height=\"910\" data-src=\"https:\/\/www.interactivebrokers.eu\/campus\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/3\/2026\/03\/image-29.png\" alt=\"IBKR ForecastTrader contract regarding US CPI\" class=\"wp-image-211960 lazyload\" data-srcset=\"https:\/\/ibkrcampus.eu\/campus\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/3\/2026\/03\/image-29.png 710w, https:\/\/ibkrcampus.eu\/campus\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/3\/2026\/03\/image-29-700x897.png 700w, https:\/\/ibkrcampus.eu\/campus\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/3\/2026\/03\/image-29-300x385.png 300w\" data-sizes=\"(max-width: 710px) 100vw, 710px\" src=\"data:image\/svg+xml;base64,PHN2ZyB3aWR0aD0iMSIgaGVpZ2h0PSIxIiB4bWxucz0iaHR0cDovL3d3dy53My5vcmcvMjAwMC9zdmciPjwvc3ZnPg==\" style=\"--smush-placeholder-width: 710px; aspect-ratio: 710\/910;\" \/><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><strong>Core Expected a Little higher Though<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">The core CPI, which excludes food and energy due to their volatile characteristics, is priced a little higher than the headline figure, with the \u201cYeses\u201d at 2.3%, 2.4%, 2.5% and 2.6% at 87%, 66%, 32% and 14%. On the other hand, the \u201cNos\u201d at 2.6%, 2.5%, 2.4% and 2.3% are going for 84%, 66%, 32% and 11%. The monthly Reuters poll of 48 forecasters has a median estimate of 2.5% against the backdrop of a 2.4% minimum and 2.7% maximum.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><\/p>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image size-large\"><img decoding=\"async\" width=\"1100\" height=\"121\" data-src=\"https:\/\/www.interactivebrokers.eu\/campus\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/3\/2026\/03\/image-30-1100x121.png\" alt=\"IBKR ForecastTrader contract regarding US Core CPI\n\" class=\"wp-image-211961 lazyload\" data-srcset=\"https:\/\/ibkrcampus.eu\/campus\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/3\/2026\/03\/image-30-1100x121.png 1100w, https:\/\/ibkrcampus.eu\/campus\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/3\/2026\/03\/image-30-700x77.png 700w, https:\/\/ibkrcampus.eu\/campus\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/3\/2026\/03\/image-30-300x33.png 300w, https:\/\/ibkrcampus.eu\/campus\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/3\/2026\/03\/image-30-768x84.png 768w, https:\/\/ibkrcampus.eu\/campus\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/3\/2026\/03\/image-30-1536x168.png 1536w, https:\/\/ibkrcampus.eu\/campus\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/3\/2026\/03\/image-30.png 1578w\" data-sizes=\"(max-width: 1100px) 100vw, 1100px\" src=\"data:image\/svg+xml;base64,PHN2ZyB3aWR0aD0iMSIgaGVpZ2h0PSIxIiB4bWxucz0iaHR0cDovL3d3dy53My5vcmcvMjAwMC9zdmciPjwvc3ZnPg==\" style=\"--smush-placeholder-width: 1100px; aspect-ratio: 1100\/121;\" \/><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><\/p>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image size-full\"><img decoding=\"async\" width=\"714\" height=\"904\" data-src=\"https:\/\/www.interactivebrokers.eu\/campus\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/3\/2026\/03\/image-31.png\" alt=\"IBKR ForecastTrader contract regarding US Core CPI\n\" class=\"wp-image-211962 lazyload\" data-srcset=\"https:\/\/ibkrcampus.eu\/campus\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/3\/2026\/03\/image-31.png 714w, https:\/\/ibkrcampus.eu\/campus\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/3\/2026\/03\/image-31-700x886.png 700w, https:\/\/ibkrcampus.eu\/campus\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/3\/2026\/03\/image-31-300x380.png 300w\" data-sizes=\"(max-width: 714px) 100vw, 714px\" src=\"data:image\/svg+xml;base64,PHN2ZyB3aWR0aD0iMSIgaGVpZ2h0PSIxIiB4bWxucz0iaHR0cDovL3d3dy53My5vcmcvMjAwMC9zdmciPjwvc3ZnPg==\" style=\"--smush-placeholder-width: 714px; aspect-ratio: 714\/904;\" \/><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><em>Source for images: ForecastEx<\/em><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><em>Note: Prices are highest bids as of the morning of March 10, 2026.<\/em>&nbsp;<em>Time until market closing was also as of March 10, 2026.<\/em><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><em>To learn more about ForecastEx, view our Traders\u2019 Academy video <\/em><a href=\"https:\/\/forecasttrader.interactivebrokers.ie\/en\/learn.php\">here<\/a><em>.<\/em><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Disclaimer:<br>Forecast Contracts are only available to eligible clients of Interactive Brokers LLC, Interactive Brokers Canada Inc., Interactive Brokers Hong Kong Limited, Interactive Brokers Ireland Limited and Interactive Brokers Singapore Pte. Ltd.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Futures, event contracts and forecast contracts are not suitable for all investors. Before trading these products, please read the Forecast Contract Risk Disclosure. Displayed outcomes and prices are based on real-time market sentiment from ForecastEx LLC, an affiliate of Interactive Brokers Group. Interactive Brokers Ireland Limited does not make recommendations with respect to any products available on its platform, including those offered by ForecastEx.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>On Tuesday, IBKR ForecastTrader participants generally anticipated that the subsequent day\u2019s release of the US Consumer Price Index (CPI) would have a headline of 2.4% and a core result of 2.5%.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":903,"featured_media":211963,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"footnotes":"","jetpack_post_was_ever_published":false},"categories":[3164,147,8,148,7],"tags":[3396,2162],"contributors-categories":[370],"class_list":["post-211958","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","category-prediction-market","category-north-america","category-region","category-text-articles","category-traders-insight","tag-forecast-contracts","tag-forecast-trader","contributors-categories-ibkr-macroeconomics"],"pp_statuses_selecting_workflow":false,"pp_workflow_action":"current","pp_status_selection":"publish","acf":[],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO Premium plugin v26.9 (Yoast SEO v27.8) - https:\/\/yoast.com\/product\/yoast-seo-premium-wordpress\/ -->\n<title>Forecasters Generally Anticipated 2.4% For Headline CPI, 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