{"id":211288,"date":"2026-01-30T04:15:47","date_gmt":"2026-01-30T09:15:47","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/ibkrcampus.eu\/campus\/uncategorized\/chart-advisor-navigating-the-healthcare-sector\/"},"modified":"2026-02-05T09:31:35","modified_gmt":"2026-02-05T09:31:35","slug":"chart-advisor-navigating-the-healthcare-sector","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.interactivebrokers.eu\/campus\/traders-insight\/securities\/macro\/chart-advisor-navigating-the-healthcare-sector\/","title":{"rendered":"Chart Advisor: Navigating the Healthcare Sector"},"content":{"rendered":"\n

By Shane Murphy, CMT<\/a><\/p>\n\n\n\n

1\/ Healthcare Below Trend<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n

2\/ Emerging Markets Ex-China<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n

3\/ Solar Industry \u2013 Well Defined Level<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n

Investopedia is partnering with CMT Association on this newsletter.  The contents of this newsletter are for informational and educational purposes only, however, and do not constitute investing advice. The guest authors, which may sell research to investors, and may trade or hold positions in securities mentioned herein do not represent the views of CMT Association or Investopedia. Please consult a financial advisor for investment recommendations and services.<\/em><\/p>\n\n\n\n

1\/<\/h2>\n\n\n\n

Healthcare Below Trend<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n

The defensive healthcare sector has come back to life in recent months. After struggling for much of 2025, the sector printed a new all-time closing high in early January. Despite absolute prices reaching new highs, the relative strength chart \u2013 which compares the healthcare sector to the S&P 500 Index \u2013 continues to struggle, and now finds itself once again trading below a relative 200-day moving average.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\"sp500<\/figure>\n\n\n\n

Past performance is not indicative of future returns.<\/em><\/p>\n\n\n\n

This isn\u2019t a market where defensive sectors are outperforming. Despite the constructive price action on the absolute chart \u2013 investors would have been better off owning more cyclical stocks the last 12-months. If you are adding a Healthcare specific satellite position to your portfolio, the sector may continue to detract from performance in the short-term. Although, when the cycle turns, owning a defensive sector may provide some level of downside protection. The takeaway here is that the market is still<\/strong> telling us it is not the time to own defensive stocks. Evidence points in favor of risk-on for the time being.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

2\/<\/h2>\n\n\n\n

Emerging Markets Ex-China<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n

Emerging market stocks are making headlines this week \u2013 the asset class is printing new highs and benefiting from a declining US Dollar. When most people think of Emerging Markets, they think China \u2013 but it\u2019s countries like India, South Korea, Peru, Greece, and South Africa that are the real outperformers. The below chart displays the price ratio of Emerging Markets Ex. China vs. Emerging Markets. The ratio printed new highs this week, breaking out from a yearlong basing pattern. It\u2019s not just China that\u2019s working \u2013 emerging economies of all sizes are participating in this rally!<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\"emerging<\/figure>\n\n\n\n

Past performance is not indicative of future returns.<\/em><\/p>\n\n\n\n

3\/<\/h2>\n\n\n\n

Solar Industry \u2013 Well Defined Level<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n

As a technician \u2013 I love defined price levels. They help us manage risk and push us to change our minds if proven wrong. The below Solar industry index is trading within a very defined price range. If you\u2019re bullish on this industry \u2013 you\u2019ll want to see the chart trade >60. Until that level is successfully breached, the path of least resistance is lower.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\"MAC<\/figure>\n\n\n\n

Past performance is not indicative of future returns.<\/em><\/p>\n\n\n\n

The industry traded sideways for 3+ years. During that period, the 60-level behaved as support several times. Even with the industry doubling off the April 2025 lows, there\u2019s still a lot of supply to work through. For me, it makes sense to stay neutral until the price chart tells us otherwise.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

—<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Originally posted 29th January 2026<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

By Shane Murphy, CMT 1\/ Healthcare Below Trend 2\/ Emerging Markets Ex-China 3\/ Solar Industry \u2013 Well Defined Level Investopedia is partnering with CMT Association on this newsletter.  The contents of this newsletter are for informational and educational purposes only, however, and do not constitute investing advice. 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