{"id":211023,"date":"2026-01-26T13:10:26","date_gmt":"2026-01-26T18:10:26","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/ibkrcampus.eu\/campus\/uncategorized\/buckle-up-for-a-busy-week\/"},"modified":"2026-01-27T12:15:51","modified_gmt":"2026-01-27T12:15:51","slug":"buckle-up-for-a-busy-week","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.interactivebrokers.eu\/campus\/traders-insight\/buckle-up-for-a-busy-week\/","title":{"rendered":"Buckle Up for a Busy Week"},"content":{"rendered":"\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">For a short week, last week was a wild one.\u00a0 Tariff threats, then a hasty reversal, caused stocks to drop significantly on Tuesday, rebound Wednesday, and further claw back over the subsequent two sessions.\u00a0 Shares continue to rebound this morning ahead of a highly consequential slew of financial news in the days ahead.\u00a0 We have an FOMC meeting on Wednesday followed in mere hours by three earnings reports from Mag 7 stocks.\u00a0 That\u2019s not to mention earnings reports from nearly one quarter of the S&amp;P 500 (SPX) and possible interventions in the Japanese yen.\u00a0 At least for today, traders don\u2019t seem too perturbed by the potential for volatility.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Although SPX closed a mere -0.35% lower and the Nasdaq 100 (NDX) managed a 0.3% gain, the Cboe Volatility Index (VIX) reflected the changing mood, jumping from 15.86 last Friday to a high of 20.99 on Tuesday, before closing the week at 16.09.&nbsp; It is notable, however, that while the moves in VIX reflected relatively unchanged expectations for volatility over the coming 30 days, its 9-day counterpart VIX9D rose meaningfully last week, from 12.09 to 15.00.&nbsp; Part of that rise can be explained by the fact that the reading ahead of the long weekend included a non-trading day, but most of the nearly 25% jump is the result of anticipating the events of the week ahead.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h3 class=\"wp-block-heading\" id=\"h-8-days-vix-red-green-15-minute-candles-vix9d-blue-line\"><strong><em>8-Days, VIX (red\/green 15-Minute Candles), VIX9D (blue line)<\/em><\/strong><\/h3>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image size-large\"><img decoding=\"async\" width=\"1100\" height=\"688\" data-src=\"https:\/\/www.interactivebrokers.com\/campus\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/2\/2026\/01\/image-20-1100x688.png\" alt=\"8-Days, VIX (red\/green 15-Minute Candles), VIX9D (blue line)\" class=\"wp-image-211026 lazyload\" data-srcset=\"https:\/\/ibkrcampus.eu\/campus\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/3\/2026\/01\/image-20-1100x688.png 1100w, https:\/\/ibkrcampus.eu\/campus\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/3\/2026\/01\/image-20-700x438.png 700w, https:\/\/ibkrcampus.eu\/campus\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/3\/2026\/01\/image-20-300x188.png 300w, https:\/\/ibkrcampus.eu\/campus\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/3\/2026\/01\/image-20-768x480.png 768w, https:\/\/ibkrcampus.eu\/campus\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/3\/2026\/01\/image-20-1536x960.png 1536w, https:\/\/ibkrcampus.eu\/campus\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/3\/2026\/01\/image-20.png 1652w\" data-sizes=\"(max-width: 1100px) 100vw, 1100px\" src=\"data:image\/svg+xml;base64,PHN2ZyB3aWR0aD0iMSIgaGVpZ2h0PSIxIiB4bWxucz0iaHR0cDovL3d3dy53My5vcmcvMjAwMC9zdmciPjwvc3ZnPg==\" style=\"--smush-placeholder-width: 1100px; aspect-ratio: 1100\/688;\" \/><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><em>Source: Interactive Brokers<\/em><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><strong>Past performance is not indicative of future results. <\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">It is probably correct for traders to be relatively calm ahead of the upcoming FOMC meeting.&nbsp; There is virtually no expectation for a cut this week and the last meeting resulted in only a 1.5% high-low range over the ensuing three-day period.&nbsp; While Chair Powell\u2019s comments at the press conference are typically lapped up by traders hanging on his every word, it is important to remember that he is a lame duck in that position.&nbsp; Many of the questions are likely to relate to the political turmoil that surrounds the Federal Reserve right now, whether they reference his <a href=\"https:\/\/www.bing.com\/videos\/riverview\/relatedvideo?qs=SC&amp;pq=powell+bid&amp;sk=CSYN1SC1&amp;sc=15-10&amp;pglt=161&amp;q=powell+video+statement&amp;cvid=07dd5b70e68c482cada913b3d8a7b7d9&amp;gs_lcrp=EgRlZGdlKgYIAhAAGEAyBggAEEUYOTIGCAEQABhAMgYIAhAAGEAyBggDEAAYQDIGCAQQABhAMgYIBRAAGEAyBggGEAAYQDIGCAcQABhAMgYICBAAGEAyCAgJEOkHGPxV0gEINTM0NWowajGoAgiwAgE&amp;PC=DCTS&amp;ru=%2fsearch%3fqs%3dSC%26pq%3dpowell%2bbid%26sk%3dCSYN1SC1%26sc%3d15-10%26pglt%3d161%26q%3dpowell%2bvideo%2bstatement%26cvid%3d07dd5b70e68c482cada913b3d8a7b7d9%26gs_lcrp%3dEgRlZGdlKgYIAhAAGEAyBggAEEUYOTIGCAEQABhAMgYIAhAAGEAyBggDEAAYQDIGCAQQABhAMgYIBRAAGEAyBggGEAAYQDIGCAcQABhAMgYICBAAGEAyCAgJEOkHGPxV0gEINTM0NWowajGoAgiwAgE%26FORM%3dANNAB1%26PC%3dDCTS&amp;mmscn=vwrc&amp;mid=E4B80B37729D11872ACEE4B80B37729D11872ACE&amp;FORM=WRVORC&amp;ntb=1&amp;msockid=5a13d75efade11f0a7e9ba750c4d2782\">recent video<\/a> responding to reports of investigations about the cost of the Fed\u2019s renovation, his appearance in support of Governor Lisa Cook <a href=\"https:\/\/apnews.com\/live\/supreme-court-lisa-cook-federal-reserve-arguments-updates\">at the Supreme Court<\/a>, or whether he intends to stay on as a Fed Governor after his term as Chair ends.&nbsp; It presents a bit of a conundrum for reporters who need to weigh the potential probative value of a response to one of those questions against the likelihood that Powell will demur.&nbsp;<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Meanwhile, stock traders seem quite OK with the dollar plunging against the yen, which has risen about 3% since hints of concerted intervention swept the currency markets, and dips against other major currencies.&nbsp; In the short term, a weaker dollar is positive for stocks because they boost the non-dollar earnings of the multinationals that dominate major equity indices.&nbsp; In the longer term, it could prove problematic if there appears to be a flight out of US assets.&nbsp; So far, there is some relative affection for global stocks (bear in mind that IBKR offers access to thousands of non-US stocks), but not necessarily a flight.&nbsp; The flight is into metals, with gold up over 2% and silver up a staggering 14% (!) as I type this.&nbsp; I am curious to hear what the Chair might have to say about those goings-on.&nbsp;<\/p>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image size-full\"><img decoding=\"async\" width=\"645\" height=\"703\" data-src=\"https:\/\/www.interactivebrokers.com\/campus\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/2\/2026\/01\/image-19.png\" alt=\"1 and 3 day changes after previous FOMC Meetings close of prior day through 2 days after announcement\" class=\"wp-image-211025 lazyload\" data-srcset=\"https:\/\/ibkrcampus.eu\/campus\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/3\/2026\/01\/image-19.png 645w, https:\/\/ibkrcampus.eu\/campus\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/3\/2026\/01\/image-19-300x327.png 300w\" data-sizes=\"(max-width: 645px) 100vw, 645px\" src=\"data:image\/svg+xml;base64,PHN2ZyB3aWR0aD0iMSIgaGVpZ2h0PSIxIiB4bWxucz0iaHR0cDovL3d3dy53My5vcmcvMjAwMC9zdmciPjwvc3ZnPg==\" style=\"--smush-placeholder-width: 645px; aspect-ratio: 645\/703;\" \/><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><em>Source: Interactive Brokers<\/em><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><strong>Past performance is not indicative of future results. <\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>For a short week, last week was a wild one.\u00a0 Tariff threats, then a hasty reversal, caused stocks to drop significantly on Tuesday, rebound Wednesday, and further claw back over the subsequent two sessions.\u00a0 Shares continue to rebound this morning ahead of a highly consequential slew of financial news in the days ahead.\u00a0 We have an FOMC meeting on Wednesday followed in mere hours by three earnings reports from Mag 7 stocks.\u00a0 That\u2019s not to mention earnings reports from nearly one quarter of the S&amp;P 500 (SPX) and possible interventions in the Japanese yen.\u00a0 At least for today, traders don\u2019t seem too perturbed by the potential for volatility.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":4,"featured_media":211024,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"closed","sticky":true,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"footnotes":"","jetpack_post_was_ever_published":false},"categories":[145,146,147,8,12,148,7],"tags":[],"contributors-categories":[149],"class_list":["post-211023","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","category-ibkr-market-insights","category-macro","category-north-america","category-region","category-securities","category-text-articles","category-traders-insight","contributors-categories-interactive-brokers"],"pp_statuses_selecting_workflow":false,"pp_workflow_action":"current","pp_status_selection":"publish","acf":[],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO 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