{"id":210913,"date":"2026-01-26T09:26:49","date_gmt":"2026-01-26T09:26:49","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/ibkrcampus.eu\/campus\/?p=210913"},"modified":"2026-01-27T11:35:52","modified_gmt":"2026-01-27T11:35:52","slug":"supreme-courts-trump-tariff-decision-traded-from-38-to-26-this-week-jan-23-2026","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.interactivebrokers.eu\/campus\/traders-insight\/supreme-courts-trump-tariff-decision-traded-from-38-to-26-this-week-jan-23-2026\/","title":{"rendered":"Supreme Court\u2019s Trump Tariff Decision Traded From 38% to 26% This Week: Jan. 23, 2026"},"content":{"rendered":"\n

<\/p>\n\n\n\n

It\u2019s unclear when the Supreme Court will rule on President Trump\u2019s tariffs, but some opine that the decision can come as soon as in several weeks. Against this uncertain backdrop, in which levies were threatened towards European nations a few days ago, this specific contract has experienced notable volatility last week. Indeed, the odds of the highest national legal authority upholding the commander in chief\u2019s duties traded as high as 38% on Sunday and Monday, Jan. 18 and 19, before dipping to a seven-day low of 26% on Tuesday, Jan. 20. Since then, the likelihood has stabilized around the middle, hovering near 31% as of Friday, Jan. 23.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\"Forecast<\/figure>\n\n\n\n

Source for image: ForecastEx<\/em> – Past performance is not indicative of future results.<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n

Note: Prices are highest bids as of the morning of Jan. 23, 2026. Contract time to expiration is also as of Jan. 23, 2026.<\/em> <\/p>\n\n\n\n

<\/p>\n\n\n\n

To learn more about ForecastEx, view our Traders\u2019 Academy video <\/em>here<\/a><\/p>\n\n\n\n

Disclaimer:<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Forecast Contracts are only available to eligible clients of Interactive Brokers LLC, Interactive Brokers Canada Inc., Interactive Brokers Hong Kong Limited, Interactive Brokers Ireland Limited and Interactive Brokers Singapore Pte. Ltd.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Futures, event contracts and forecast contracts are not suitable for all investors. Before trading these products, please read the Forecast Contract Risk Disclosure. Displayed outcomes and prices are based on real-time market sentiment from ForecastEx LLC, an affiliate of Interactive Brokers Group. Interactive Brokers Ireland Limited does not make recommendations with respect to any products available on its platform, including those offered by ForecastEx.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

It\u2019s unclear when the Supreme Court will rule on President Trump\u2019s tariffs, but some opine that the decision can come as soon as in several weeks. Against this uncertain backdrop, in which levies were threatened towards European nations a few days ago, this specific contract has experienced notable volatility last week. Indeed, the odds of the highest national legal authority upholding the commander in chief\u2019s duties traded as high as 38% on Sunday and Monday, Jan. 18 and 19, before dipping to a seven-day low of 26% on Tuesday, Jan. 20. Since then, the likelihood has stabilized around the middle, hovering near 31% as of Friday, Jan. 23.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":903,"featured_media":210915,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[3164,148,7],"tags":[3396,2162],"contributors-categories":[370],"class_list":{"0":"post-210913","1":"post","2":"type-post","3":"status-publish","4":"format-standard","5":"has-post-thumbnail","7":"category-forecast-trader","8":"category-text-articles","9":"category-traders-insight","10":"tag-forecast-contracts","11":"tag-forecast-trader","12":"contributors-categories-ibkr-macroeconomics"},"pp_statuses_selecting_workflow":false,"pp_workflow_action":"current","pp_status_selection":"publish","acf":[],"yoast_head":"\nSupreme Court\u2019s Trump Tariff Decision Traded From 38% to 26% This Week: Jan. 23, 2026<\/title>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n<link rel=\"canonical\" href=\"https:\/\/www.interactivebrokers.eu\/campus\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/210913\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:locale\" content=\"en_US\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:type\" content=\"article\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:title\" content=\"Supreme Court\u2019s Trump Tariff Decision Traded From 38% to 26% This Week: Jan. 23, 2026\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:description\" content=\"It\u2019s unclear when the Supreme Court will rule on President Trump\u2019s tariffs, but some opine that the decision can come as soon as in several weeks. 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