{"id":210791,"date":"2026-01-19T07:32:27","date_gmt":"2026-01-19T07:32:27","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/ibkrcampus.eu\/campus\/?p=210791"},"modified":"2026-01-20T17:59:37","modified_gmt":"2026-01-20T17:59:37","slug":"trump-comments-send-warsh-fed-greenland-us-odds-to-fresh-records-jan-16-2026","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.interactivebrokers.eu\/campus\/traders-insight\/trump-comments-send-warsh-fed-greenland-us-odds-to-fresh-records-jan-16-2026\/","title":{"rendered":"Trump Comments Send Warsh Fed, Greenland US Odds to Fresh Records: Jan. 16, 2026"},"content":{"rendered":"\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">President Trump\u2019s comments to National Economic Council Director Kevin Hassett stating that he\u2019d prefer to keep him where he is sent the odds of US Former Fed Governor Warsh being nominated as Chair to the central a fresh record of 67% on Friday, before settling in at <a href=\"https:\/\/forecasttrader.interactivebrokers.ie\/eventtrader\/#\/market-details?id=802470036%7C20290121%7C1%7CJanuary%2020,%202029&amp;detail=contract_details\">60%.<\/a> Hasset\u2019s chances dropped from 40% down to <a href=\"https:\/\/forecasttrader.interactivebrokers.ie\/eventtrader\/#\/market-details?id=802470036%7C20290121%7C2%7CJanuary%2020,%202029&amp;detail=contract_details\">15%<\/a> on the news, meanwhile, current Governor Christopher Waller rose from 8% to <a href=\"https:\/\/forecasttrader.interactivebrokers.ie\/eventtrader\/#\/market-details?id=802470036%7C20290121%7C3%7CJanuary%2020,%202029&amp;detail=contract_details\">15%<\/a>.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><\/p>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image size-full\"><img decoding=\"async\" width=\"1090\" height=\"553\" data-src=\"https:\/\/www.interactivebrokers.eu\/campus\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/3\/2026\/01\/image-37.png\" alt=\"Forecast contract - Will President Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as Fed Chair?\" class=\"wp-image-210792 lazyload\" data-srcset=\"https:\/\/ibkrcampus.eu\/campus\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/3\/2026\/01\/image-37.png 1090w, https:\/\/ibkrcampus.eu\/campus\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/3\/2026\/01\/image-37-700x355.png 700w, https:\/\/ibkrcampus.eu\/campus\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/3\/2026\/01\/image-37-300x152.png 300w, https:\/\/ibkrcampus.eu\/campus\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/3\/2026\/01\/image-37-768x390.png 768w\" data-sizes=\"(max-width: 1090px) 100vw, 1090px\" src=\"data:image\/svg+xml;base64,PHN2ZyB3aWR0aD0iMSIgaGVpZ2h0PSIxIiB4bWxucz0iaHR0cDovL3d3dy53My5vcmcvMjAwMC9zdmciPjwvc3ZnPg==\" style=\"--smush-placeholder-width: 1090px; aspect-ratio: 1090\/553;\" \/><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><strong><strong>Past performance is not indicative of future results.<\/strong><\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><strong>Greenland Becoming Part of US Rises To 51% Record<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">The odds of any portion of Greenland becoming part of the US rose to a fresh <a href=\"https:\/\/forecasttrader.interactivebrokers.ie\/eventtrader\/#\/market-details?id=791099793%7C20290101%7C0%7C&amp;detail=contract_details\">record<\/a> on Friday as well following President Trump\u2019s threats of new tariffs to countries that don\u2019t go along with Washington\u2019s quest to acquire the island territory in the name of national security. The initial volatility faded quickly, however, with the likelihood falling back to 40% shortly after.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><\/p>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image size-large\"><img decoding=\"async\" width=\"1100\" height=\"565\" data-src=\"https:\/\/www.interactivebrokers.eu\/campus\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/3\/2026\/01\/image-38-1100x565.png\" alt=\"Forecast contract - Will any portion of Greenland become a US state, territory, or rather federal juristriction by December 31, 2028?\" class=\"wp-image-210793 lazyload\" data-srcset=\"https:\/\/ibkrcampus.eu\/campus\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/3\/2026\/01\/image-38-1100x565.png 1100w, https:\/\/ibkrcampus.eu\/campus\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/3\/2026\/01\/image-38-700x359.png 700w, https:\/\/ibkrcampus.eu\/campus\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/3\/2026\/01\/image-38-300x154.png 300w, https:\/\/ibkrcampus.eu\/campus\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/3\/2026\/01\/image-38-768x394.png 768w, https:\/\/ibkrcampus.eu\/campus\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/3\/2026\/01\/image-38.png 1120w\" data-sizes=\"(max-width: 1100px) 100vw, 1100px\" src=\"data:image\/svg+xml;base64,PHN2ZyB3aWR0aD0iMSIgaGVpZ2h0PSIxIiB4bWxucz0iaHR0cDovL3d3dy53My5vcmcvMjAwMC9zdmciPjwvc3ZnPg==\" style=\"--smush-placeholder-width: 1100px; aspect-ratio: 1100\/565;\" \/><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><strong>Past performance is not indicative of future results.<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><em>Source for images: ForecastEx<\/em><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><em>Note: Prices are highest bids as of the morning of Jan. 16, 2026. Time until expiration is also as of Jan. 16, 2026.<\/em><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><em>To learn more about ForecastEx, view our Traders\u2019 Academy video <\/em><a href=\"https:\/\/forecasttrader.interactivebrokers.ie\/en\/learn.php\">here<\/a><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Disclaimer:<br>Forecast Contracts are only available to eligible clients of Interactive Brokers LLC, Interactive Brokers Canada Inc., Interactive Brokers Hong Kong Limited, Interactive Brokers Ireland Limited and Interactive Brokers Singapore Pte. Ltd.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Futures, event contracts and forecast contracts are not suitable for all investors. Before trading these products, please read the Forecast Contract Risk Disclosure. Displayed outcomes and prices are based on real-time market sentiment from ForecastEx LLC, an affiliate of Interactive Brokers Group. Interactive Brokers Ireland Limited does not make recommendations with respect to any products available on its platform, including those offered by ForecastEx.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>President Trump\u2019s comments to National Economic Council Director Kevin Hassett stating that he\u2019d prefer to keep him where he is sent the odds of US Former Fed Governor Warsh being nominated as Chair to the central a fresh record of 67% on Friday, before settling in at 60%. Hasset\u2019s chances dropped from 40% down to 15% on the news, meanwhile, current Governor Christopher Waller rose from 8% to 15%.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":903,"featured_media":210794,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"footnotes":"","jetpack_post_was_ever_published":false},"categories":[3164,148,7],"tags":[3396,2162],"contributors-categories":[370],"class_list":["post-210791","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","category-prediction-market","category-text-articles","category-traders-insight","tag-forecast-contracts","tag-forecast-trader","contributors-categories-ibkr-macroeconomics"],"pp_statuses_selecting_workflow":false,"pp_workflow_action":"current","pp_status_selection":"publish","acf":[],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO Premium plugin v26.9 (Yoast SEO v28.5) - https:\/\/yoast.com\/product\/yoast-seo-premium-wordpress\/ -->\n<title>Trump Comments Send Warsh Fed, Greenland US Odds to Fresh Records: Jan. 16, 2026<\/title>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n<link rel=\"canonical\" href=\"https:\/\/www.interactivebrokers.eu\/campus\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/210791\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:locale\" content=\"en_US\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:type\" content=\"article\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:title\" content=\"Trump Comments Send Warsh Fed, Greenland US Odds to Fresh Records: Jan. 16, 2026\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:description\" content=\"President Trump\u2019s comments to National Economic Council Director Kevin Hassett stating that he\u2019d prefer to keep him where he is sent the odds of US Former Fed Governor Warsh being nominated as Chair to the central a fresh record of 67% on Friday, before settling in at 60%. 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