{"id":210780,"date":"2026-01-16T11:38:42","date_gmt":"2026-01-16T11:38:42","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/ibkrcampus.eu\/campus\/?p=210780"},"modified":"2026-01-16T12:22:44","modified_gmt":"2026-01-16T12:22:44","slug":"investors-engaged-with-a-wide-variety-of-forecast-topics-recently-jan-15-2026","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.interactivebrokers.eu\/campus\/traders-insight\/investors-engaged-with-a-wide-variety-of-forecast-topics-recently-jan-15-2026\/","title":{"rendered":"Investors Engaged with a Wide Variety of Forecast Topics Recently: Jan. 15, 2026"},"content":{"rendered":"\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">The two-and-half day trading period leading up to mid-day Thursday featured total ForecastTrader volumes of approximately 5.3 million and the activity was broad-based across topics. Daily high temperatures across US cities continue to command an elevated share of transactions, but we also saw two distinct block trades for January\u2019s Fed <a href=\"https:\/\/forecasttrader.interactivebrokers.ie\/eventtrader\/#\/market-details?id=791099755%7C20260128%7C3%7C\">decision<\/a> on Tuesday morning amounting to single exchanges of 20k and 10k contracts. Both \u201cYeses\u201d went through at $0.96 as investors are confident the central bank will hold at its meeting this month. Instruments tied to the price performances of the S&amp;P 500, Dow Jones Industrial Average, Nasdaq 100, Bitcoin and Ethereum also caught strong bids. Currency pairs additionally saw action, with participants engaging mostly with the US Dollar as it compares to the <a href=\"https:\/\/forecasttrader.interactivebrokers.ie\/eventtrader\/#\/market-details?id=788713829%7C20260116%7C0.72%7CJanuary%2016,%202026\">Canadian<\/a> and <a href=\"https:\/\/forecasttrader.interactivebrokers.ie\/eventtrader\/#\/market-details?id=808613981%7C20260116%7C156%7CJanuary%2016,%202026\">Japanese<\/a> counterparts. Other popular series in the past three days have been the Supreme Court\u2019s decision on tariffs and who will be nominated as the next Fed <a href=\"https:\/\/forecasttrader.interactivebrokers.ie\/eventtrader\/#\/market-details?id=802470036%7C20290121%7C1%7C&amp;detail=contract_details\">Chair<\/a>.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><\/p>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image size-large\"><img decoding=\"async\" width=\"1100\" height=\"103\" data-src=\"https:\/\/www.interactivebrokers.eu\/campus\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/3\/2026\/01\/image-34-1100x103.png\" alt=\"Forecast Contract - Will the Supreme Court uphold Trumps tariffs by July 31, 2026?\" class=\"wp-image-210781 lazyload\" data-srcset=\"https:\/\/ibkrcampus.eu\/campus\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/3\/2026\/01\/image-34-1100x103.png 1100w, https:\/\/ibkrcampus.eu\/campus\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/3\/2026\/01\/image-34-700x65.png 700w, https:\/\/ibkrcampus.eu\/campus\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/3\/2026\/01\/image-34-300x28.png 300w, https:\/\/ibkrcampus.eu\/campus\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/3\/2026\/01\/image-34-768x72.png 768w, https:\/\/ibkrcampus.eu\/campus\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/3\/2026\/01\/image-34.png 1393w\" data-sizes=\"(max-width: 1100px) 100vw, 1100px\" src=\"data:image\/svg+xml;base64,PHN2ZyB3aWR0aD0iMSIgaGVpZ2h0PSIxIiB4bWxucz0iaHR0cDovL3d3dy53My5vcmcvMjAwMC9zdmciPjwvc3ZnPg==\" style=\"--smush-placeholder-width: 1100px; aspect-ratio: 1100\/103;\" \/><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><\/p>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image size-large\"><img decoding=\"async\" width=\"1100\" height=\"101\" data-src=\"https:\/\/www.interactivebrokers.eu\/campus\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/3\/2026\/01\/image-35-1100x101.png\" alt=\"Forecast Contract - Will President Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as Fed Chair?\" class=\"wp-image-210782 lazyload\" data-srcset=\"https:\/\/ibkrcampus.eu\/campus\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/3\/2026\/01\/image-35-1100x101.png 1100w, https:\/\/ibkrcampus.eu\/campus\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/3\/2026\/01\/image-35-700x64.png 700w, https:\/\/ibkrcampus.eu\/campus\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/3\/2026\/01\/image-35-300x27.png 300w, https:\/\/ibkrcampus.eu\/campus\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/3\/2026\/01\/image-35-768x70.png 768w, https:\/\/ibkrcampus.eu\/campus\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/3\/2026\/01\/image-35.png 1388w\" data-sizes=\"(max-width: 1100px) 100vw, 1100px\" src=\"data:image\/svg+xml;base64,PHN2ZyB3aWR0aD0iMSIgaGVpZ2h0PSIxIiB4bWxucz0iaHR0cDovL3d3dy53My5vcmcvMjAwMC9zdmciPjwvc3ZnPg==\" style=\"--smush-placeholder-width: 1100px; aspect-ratio: 1100\/101;\" \/><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><strong>Industrial Production<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">On Thursday, US Industrial production was expected to decelerate from 1.9% year over year to 1.56% and the path to a number exceeding 2%, in my view, was particularly slim, requiring a monthly expansion of almost six times the 0.1% month over month estimate. &nbsp;The \u201cNo\u201d for the 2% threshold on Thursday was priced at $0.33.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><\/p>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image size-full\"><img decoding=\"async\" width=\"1001\" height=\"120\" data-src=\"https:\/\/www.interactivebrokers.eu\/campus\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/3\/2026\/01\/image-36.png\" alt=\"Forecast Contract -Will Year over year US industrial Production exceed 2 in December 2025?\" class=\"wp-image-210783 lazyload\" data-srcset=\"https:\/\/ibkrcampus.eu\/campus\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/3\/2026\/01\/image-36.png 1001w, https:\/\/ibkrcampus.eu\/campus\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/3\/2026\/01\/image-36-700x84.png 700w, https:\/\/ibkrcampus.eu\/campus\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/3\/2026\/01\/image-36-300x36.png 300w, https:\/\/ibkrcampus.eu\/campus\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/3\/2026\/01\/image-36-768x92.png 768w\" data-sizes=\"(max-width: 1001px) 100vw, 1001px\" src=\"data:image\/svg+xml;base64,PHN2ZyB3aWR0aD0iMSIgaGVpZ2h0PSIxIiB4bWxucz0iaHR0cDovL3d3dy53My5vcmcvMjAwMC9zdmciPjwvc3ZnPg==\" style=\"--smush-placeholder-width: 1001px; aspect-ratio: 1001\/120;\" \/><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><em>Source for images: ForecastEx<\/em><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><em>Note: Prices are highest bids as of the morning of Jan. 15, 2026. Time until expiration of contracts was also as of Jan. 15, 2026.<\/em> <em>To learn more about ForecastEx, view our Traders\u2019 Academy video&nbsp;<\/em><a href=\"https:\/\/www.youtube.com\/watch?v=ceR-weGZSXc\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\"><strong><em>here<\/em><\/strong><\/a><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Disclaimer:<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Forecast Contracts are only available to eligible clients of Interactive Brokers LLC, Interactive Brokers Canada Inc., Interactive Brokers Hong Kong Limited, Interactive Brokers Ireland Limited and Interactive Brokers Singapore Pte. Ltd.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Futures, event contracts and forecast contracts are not suitable for all investors. Before trading these products, please read the Forecast Contract Risk Disclosure. Displayed outcomes and prices are based on real-time market sentiment from ForecastEx LLC, an affiliate of Interactive Brokers Group. Interactive Brokers Ireland Limited does not make recommendations with respect to any products available on its platform, including those offered by ForecastEx.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>The two-and-half day trading period leading up to mid-day Thursday featured total ForecastTrader volumes of approximately 5.3 million and the activity was broad-based across topics.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":903,"featured_media":210784,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"footnotes":"","jetpack_post_was_ever_published":false},"categories":[3164,148,7],"tags":[3396,2162],"contributors-categories":[370],"class_list":["post-210780","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","category-prediction-market","category-text-articles","category-traders-insight","tag-forecast-contracts","tag-forecast-trader","contributors-categories-ibkr-macroeconomics"],"pp_statuses_selecting_workflow":false,"pp_workflow_action":"current","pp_status_selection":"publish","acf":[],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO Premium plugin v26.9 (Yoast SEO v28.3) - https:\/\/yoast.com\/product\/yoast-seo-premium-wordpress\/ -->\n<title>Investors Engaged with a Wide Variety of Forecast Topics Recently: Jan. 15, 2026<\/title>\n<meta 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