{"id":210490,"date":"2026-01-06T08:50:52","date_gmt":"2026-01-06T08:50:52","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/ibkrcampus.eu\/campus\/?p=210490"},"modified":"2026-01-06T13:36:02","modified_gmt":"2026-01-06T13:36:02","slug":"odds-of-greenland-becoming-part-of-the-us-double-following-maduro-arrest-jan-5-2026","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.interactivebrokers.eu\/campus\/traders-insight\/forecast-trader\/odds-of-greenland-becoming-part-of-the-us-double-following-maduro-arrest-jan-5-2026\/","title":{"rendered":"Odds of Greenland Becoming Part of the US Double Following Maduro Arrest: Jan. 5, 2026"},"content":{"rendered":"\n<p>The odds of any portion of Greenland becoming part of the US rose significantly on Monday, Jan. 5, following this weekend\u2019s events in Venezuela. Indeed, the 8% probability on Jan. 2 climbed to as high as <a href=\"https:\/\/forecasttrader.interactivebrokers.ie\/eventtrader\/#\/market-details?id=791099793%7C20290101%7C0%7C&amp;detail=contract_details\">17%<\/a> on Monday against the backdrop of greater chances that Washington will seek to expand its influence in regions with significant geopolitical value. President Trump told reporters that \u201cwe need Greenland from the standpoint of national security.&#8221; Meanwhile, Jens-Frederik Nielsen, prime minister of the autonomous Denmark constituent, continued to dismiss the US commander in chief by calling his desire a fantasy. The developments occur as the world order shifts, with Moscow and Russia, allies of Caracas, having ambitions of their own, namely in Kyiv and Taipei.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image size-full\"><img decoding=\"async\" width=\"975\" height=\"430\" data-src=\"https:\/\/www.interactivebrokers.eu\/campus\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/3\/2026\/01\/image-9.png\" alt=\"Odds of Greenland Becoming Part of the US Double Following Maduro Arrest: Jan. 5, 2026\" class=\"wp-image-210492 lazyload\" data-srcset=\"https:\/\/ibkrcampus.eu\/campus\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/3\/2026\/01\/image-9.png 975w, https:\/\/ibkrcampus.eu\/campus\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/3\/2026\/01\/image-9-700x309.png 700w, https:\/\/ibkrcampus.eu\/campus\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/3\/2026\/01\/image-9-300x132.png 300w, https:\/\/ibkrcampus.eu\/campus\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/3\/2026\/01\/image-9-768x339.png 768w\" data-sizes=\"(max-width: 975px) 100vw, 975px\" src=\"data:image\/svg+xml;base64,PHN2ZyB3aWR0aD0iMSIgaGVpZ2h0PSIxIiB4bWxucz0iaHR0cDovL3d3dy53My5vcmcvMjAwMC9zdmciPjwvc3ZnPg==\" style=\"--smush-placeholder-width: 975px; aspect-ratio: 975\/430;\" \/><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<p><em>Source for images: ForecastEx<\/em><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><em>Note: Prices are highest bids as of the morning of Jan. 5, 2026. Time until expiration is also as of Jan. 5, 2026.<\/em>&nbsp;<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><em>To learn more about ForecastEx, view our Traders\u2019 Academy video <\/em><a href=\"https:\/\/forecasttrader.interactivebrokers.ie\/en\/learn.php\">here<\/a><em>.<\/em><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>The odds of any portion of Greenland becoming part of the US rose significantly on Monday, Jan. 5, following this weekend\u2019s events in Venezuela. Indeed, the 8% probability on Jan. 2 climbed to as high as 17% on Monday against the backdrop of greater chances that Washington will seek to expand its influence in regions with significant <\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":903,"featured_media":210494,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[152,3164,146,147,148,7],"tags":[4038,291,314],"contributors-categories":[370],"class_list":{"0":"post-210490","1":"post","2":"type-post","3":"status-publish","4":"format-standard","5":"has-post-thumbnail","7":"category-europe-middle-east-africa","8":"category-forecast-trader","9":"category-macro","10":"category-north-america","11":"category-text-articles","12":"category-traders-insight","13":"tag-greenland","14":"tag-macro","15":"tag-market-outlook","16":"contributors-categories-ibkr-macroeconomics"},"pp_statuses_selecting_workflow":false,"pp_workflow_action":"current","pp_status_selection":"publish","acf":[],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO Premium plugin v26.9 (Yoast SEO v27.3) - https:\/\/yoast.com\/product\/yoast-seo-premium-wordpress\/ -->\n<title>Odds of Greenland Becoming Part of the US Double Following Maduro Arrest: Jan. 5, 2026<\/title>\n<meta name=\"description\" content=\"The odds of any portion of Greenland becoming part of the US rose significantly on Monday, Jan. 5, following this weekend\u2019s events in Venezuela....\" \/>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n<link rel=\"canonical\" href=\"https:\/\/www.interactivebrokers.eu\/campus\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/210490\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:locale\" content=\"en_US\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:type\" content=\"article\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:title\" content=\"Odds of Greenland Becoming Part of the US Double Following Maduro Arrest: Jan. 5, 2026\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:description\" content=\"The odds of any portion of Greenland becoming part of the US rose significantly on Monday, Jan. 5, following this weekend\u2019s events in Venezuela. 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