{"id":209348,"date":"2025-11-04T12:28:39","date_gmt":"2025-11-04T17:28:39","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/ibkrcampus.eu\/campus\/uncategorized\/election-day-sends-forecast-volumes-to-ytd-record-above-8-9-million\/"},"modified":"2025-11-06T10:28:26","modified_gmt":"2025-11-06T10:28:26","slug":"election-day-sends-forecast-volumes-to-ytd-record-above-8-9-million","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.interactivebrokers.eu\/campus\/traders-insight\/prediction-market\/election-day-sends-forecast-volumes-to-ytd-record-above-8-9-million\/","title":{"rendered":"Election Day Sends Forecast Volumes to YTD Record Above 8.9 Million: Nov. 4, 2025"},"content":{"rendered":"\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Election Day is here and forecast volumes are currently north of 8.9 million with plenty of hours to go. Transactions have posted their second consecutive year-to-date record after yesterday\u2019s tally finished off at 4.096 million. Odds across the most heavily traded contests have remained relatively unchanged, with NYC\u2019s Mamdani leading at <a href=\"https:\/\/forecasttrader.interactivebrokers.com\/eventtrader\/?loginType=1&amp;forwardTo=100&amp;clt=0&amp;ip2loc=OFF&amp;locale=en_US#\/market-details?id=796056051%7C20251129%7C4%7C&amp;detail=contract_details\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\">90%<\/a>, New Jersey\u2019s Sherrill at <a href=\"https:\/\/forecasttrader.interactivebrokers.com\/eventtrader\/?loginType=1&amp;forwardTo=100&amp;clt=0&amp;ip2loc=OFF&amp;locale=en_US#\/market-details?id=768815597%7C20260119%7C1%7C&amp;detail=contract_details\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\">82%<\/a> and Virginia\u2019s Spanberger at <a href=\"https:\/\/forecasttrader.interactivebrokers.com\/eventtrader\/?loginType=1&amp;forwardTo=100&amp;clt=0&amp;ip2loc=OFF&amp;locale=en_US#\/market-details?id=767906100%7C20260117%7C1%7C&amp;detail=contract_details\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\">97%<\/a>. Open contracts across the three races total approximately 22.6 million, 3.698 million and 1.041 million at the moment.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image size-full\"><img decoding=\"async\" width=\"361\" height=\"325\" data-src=\"https:\/\/www.interactivebrokers.com\/campus\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/2\/2025\/11\/pix-1-nov-4.png\" alt=\"IBKR forecastTrader probabilities of each mayor candidate in New York city winning\" class=\"wp-image-209351 lazyload\" data-srcset=\"https:\/\/ibkrcampus.eu\/campus\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/3\/2025\/11\/pix-1-nov-4.png 361w, https:\/\/ibkrcampus.eu\/campus\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/3\/2025\/11\/pix-1-nov-4-300x270.png 300w\" data-sizes=\"(max-width: 361px) 100vw, 361px\" src=\"data:image\/svg+xml;base64,PHN2ZyB3aWR0aD0iMSIgaGVpZ2h0PSIxIiB4bWxucz0iaHR0cDovL3d3dy53My5vcmcvMjAwMC9zdmciPjwvc3ZnPg==\" style=\"--smush-placeholder-width: 361px; aspect-ratio: 361\/325;\" \/><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image size-full\"><img decoding=\"async\" width=\"364\" height=\"232\" data-src=\"https:\/\/www.interactivebrokers.com\/campus\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/2\/2025\/11\/pix-2-FT-nov-4.jpg\" alt=\"IBKR forecastTrader probabilities of each candidate's success in NJ governor race\" class=\"wp-image-209350 lazyload\" data-srcset=\"https:\/\/ibkrcampus.eu\/campus\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/3\/2025\/11\/pix-2-FT-nov-4.jpg 364w, https:\/\/ibkrcampus.eu\/campus\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/3\/2025\/11\/pix-2-FT-nov-4-300x191.jpg 300w\" data-sizes=\"(max-width: 364px) 100vw, 364px\" src=\"data:image\/svg+xml;base64,PHN2ZyB3aWR0aD0iMSIgaGVpZ2h0PSIxIiB4bWxucz0iaHR0cDovL3d3dy53My5vcmcvMjAwMC9zdmciPjwvc3ZnPg==\" style=\"--smush-placeholder-width: 364px; aspect-ratio: 364\/232;\" \/><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image size-full\"><img decoding=\"async\" width=\"369\" height=\"233\" data-src=\"https:\/\/www.interactivebrokers.com\/campus\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/2\/2025\/11\/Picture-3.jpg\" alt=\"IBKR forecastTrader probabilities of each candidate's success in Virginia governor race\" class=\"wp-image-209349 lazyload\" data-srcset=\"https:\/\/ibkrcampus.eu\/campus\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/3\/2025\/11\/Picture-3.jpg 369w, https:\/\/ibkrcampus.eu\/campus\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/3\/2025\/11\/Picture-3-300x189.jpg 300w\" data-sizes=\"(max-width: 369px) 100vw, 369px\" src=\"data:image\/svg+xml;base64,PHN2ZyB3aWR0aD0iMSIgaGVpZ2h0PSIxIiB4bWxucz0iaHR0cDovL3d3dy53My5vcmcvMjAwMC9zdmciPjwvc3ZnPg==\" style=\"--smush-placeholder-width: 369px; aspect-ratio: 369\/233;\" \/><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><em>Source for images: ForecastEx<\/em> &#8211; <strong>Past performance is not indicative of future results<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><em>Note: Prices are highest bids as of the morning of Nov. 4, 2025.<\/em><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><em>To learn more about ForecastEx, view our Traders\u2019 Academy video&nbsp;<\/em><a href=\"https:\/\/www.youtube.com\/watch?v=ceR-weGZSXc\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\"><strong><em>here<\/em><\/strong><\/a><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Election Day is here and forecast volumes are currently north of 8.9 million with plenty of hours to go. Transactions have posted their second consecutive year-to-date record after yesterday\u2019s tally finished off at 4.096 million. <\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":903,"featured_media":209336,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"footnotes":"","jetpack_post_was_ever_published":false},"categories":[3164,146,7],"tags":[],"contributors-categories":[370],"class_list":["post-209348","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","category-prediction-market","category-macro","category-traders-insight","contributors-categories-ibkr-macroeconomics"],"pp_statuses_selecting_workflow":false,"pp_workflow_action":"current","pp_status_selection":"publish","acf":[],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO Premium plugin v26.9 (Yoast SEO v28.6) - https:\/\/yoast.com\/product\/yoast-seo-premium-wordpress\/ -->\n<title>Election Day Sends Forecast Volumes to YTD 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