{"id":208060,"date":"2025-09-29T10:00:00","date_gmt":"2025-09-29T14:00:00","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/ibkrcampus.eu\/campus\/uncategorized\/weekly-market-recap-week-of-september-29-2025\/"},"modified":"2025-09-30T10:57:58","modified_gmt":"2025-09-30T10:57:58","slug":"weekly-market-recap-week-of-september-29-2025","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.interactivebrokers.eu\/campus\/traders-insight\/securities\/macro\/weekly-market-recap-week-of-september-29-2025\/","title":{"rendered":"Weekly Market Recap: Week of September 29, 2025"},"content":{"rendered":"\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\" id=\"h-the-week-in-review\">The week in review<\/h2>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li>New home sales rose to 800k, up from 664k<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>Initial claims fell to 218k<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\" id=\"h-the-week-ahead\">The week ahead<\/h2>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li>JOLTS \/ jobs report<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>Consumer confidence<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\" id=\"h-thought-of-the-week\">Thought of the Week<\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p>Gold prices have surged to record highs in recent years, appreciating over 40% year-to-date to $3,775 per troy ounce. Last year, gold rose 27%, outperforming the S&amp;P\u2019s total return. While gold demand in volume terms rose just 3% in 2Q25, it has skyrocketed 45% in value terms, according to the World Gold Council, largely driven by central bank buying activity.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Central bank accumulation of gold has been motivated by a desire to diversify reserves, a trend that accelerated in 2022 after the freezing of Russia\u2019s foreign assets. In response, countries turned to gold as a hedge to geopolitical risks and sanctions, rather than for return optimization. More recently, concerns regarding global trade policy, the independence of the Federal Reserve and rising debt burdens in the U.S. and Europe have prompted a shift away from treasury holdings and the dollar, favoring gold instead. While 2Q25 saw the lowest central bank demand for gold since 2Q22, overall demand increased, including investment in gold bars. While these factors have caused the negative relationship between interest rates and gold prices to weaken, recent market optimism for Fed rate cuts has acted as another tailwind to the precious metal. Private investors are offsetting reduced demand from central banks, with gold ETFs seeing their largest inflows in more than 3 years on Sept. 19.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Despite its rally, gold historically hasn\u2019t been a great source of long-term return. As seen in this week\u2019s chart, the inflation-adjusted value of gold today matches its peak 45 years, far underperforming stocks and bonds. Gold\u2019s real value generally keeps pace with inflation, but it lacks earnings or income to fall back on if its value declines. Investors should consider more sophisticated alternatives, like transport and infrastructure, which can both reduce portfolio risk and provide yield.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image size-full\"><img decoding=\"async\" width=\"1016\" height=\"401\" data-src=\"https:\/\/www.interactivebrokers.com\/campus\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/2\/2025\/09\/Screenshot-2025-09-29-100303.png\" alt=\"\" class=\"wp-image-208062 lazyload\" data-srcset=\"https:\/\/ibkrcampus.eu\/campus\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/3\/2025\/09\/Screenshot-2025-09-29-100303.png 1016w, https:\/\/ibkrcampus.eu\/campus\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/3\/2025\/09\/Screenshot-2025-09-29-100303-700x276.png 700w, https:\/\/ibkrcampus.eu\/campus\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/3\/2025\/09\/Screenshot-2025-09-29-100303-300x118.png 300w, https:\/\/ibkrcampus.eu\/campus\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/3\/2025\/09\/Screenshot-2025-09-29-100303-768x303.png 768w\" data-sizes=\"(max-width: 1016px) 100vw, 1016px\" src=\"data:image\/svg+xml;base64,PHN2ZyB3aWR0aD0iMSIgaGVpZ2h0PSIxIiB4bWxucz0iaHR0cDovL3d3dy53My5vcmcvMjAwMC9zdmciPjwvc3ZnPg==\" style=\"--smush-placeholder-width: 1016px; aspect-ratio: 1016\/401;\" \/><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<p>Past performance is not indicative of future results<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Chart of the Week: Source: FactSet, J.P. Morgan Asset Management.<br>Thought of the week: Source: Bloomberg, FactSet, World Gold<br>Council, J.P. Morgan Asset Management.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>\u2014<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Originally Posted September 29, 2025 \u2013&nbsp;<a href=\"https:\/\/am.jpmorgan.com\/us\/en\/asset-management\/adv\/insights\/market-insights\/market-updates\/weekly-market-recap\/\">Weekly Market Recap<\/a><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><strong>Past performance does not guarantee future results.<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><strong>Diversification does not guarantee investment returns and does not eliminate the risk of loss.<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Opinions and estimates offered constitute our judgment and are subject to change without notice, as are statements of financial market trends, which are based on current market conditions. We believe the information provided here is reliable, but do not warrant its accuracy or completeness. This material is not intended as an offer or solicitation for the purchase or sale of any financial instrument. The views and strategies described may not be appropriate for all investors. This material has been prepared for informational purposes only, and is not intended to provide, and should not be relied on for, accounting, legal or tax advice. References to future returns are not promises or even estimates of actual returns a client portfolio may achieve. Any forecasts contained herein are for illustrative purposes only and are not to be relied upon as advice or interpreted as a recommendation.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>The Market Insights program provides comprehensive data and commentary on global markets without reference to products. Designed as a tool to help clients understand the markets and support investment decision-making, the program explores the implications of current economic data and changing market conditions.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>The J.P. Morgan Asset Management Market Insights and Portfolio Insights programs, as non-independent research, have not been prepared in accordance with legal requirements designed to promote the independence of investment research, nor are they subject to any prohibition on dealing ahead of the dissemination of investment research.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>This document is a general communication being provided for informational purposes only. It is educational in nature and not designed to be taken as advice or a recommendation for any specific investment product, strategy, plan feature<br>or other purpose in any jurisdiction, nor is it a commitment from J.P. Morgan Asset Management or any of its subsidiaries to participate in any of the transactions mentioned herein. Any examples used are generic, hypothetical and for illustration purposes only. This material does not contain sufficient information to support an investment decision and it should not be relied upon by you in evaluating the merits of investing in any securities or products. In addition, users should make an independent assessment of the legal, regulatory, tax, credit, and accounting implications and determine, together with their own financial professional, if any investment mentioned herein is believed to be appropriate to their personal goals. Investors should ensure that they obtain all available relevant information before making any investment.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Any forecasts, figures, opinions or investment techniques and strategies set out are for information purposes only, based on certain assumptions and current market conditions and are subject to change without prior notice. All information presented herein is considered to be accurate at the time of production, but no warranty of accuracy is given and no liability in respect of any error or omission is accepted. It should be noted that investment involves risks, the value of investments and the income from them may fluctuate in accordance with market conditions and taxation agreements and investors may not get back the full amount invested. Both past performance and yields are not reliable indicators of current and future results.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>J.P. Morgan Asset Management is the brand for the asset management business of JPMorgan Chase &amp; Co. and its affiliates worldwide.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Telephone calls and electronic communications may be monitored and\/or recorded.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Personal data will be collected, stored and processed by J.P. Morgan Asset Management in accordance with our privacy policies at https:\/\/www.jpmorgan.com\/privacy.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>This communication is issued in the United States, by J.P. Morgan Investment Management Inc. or J.P. Morgan Alternative Asset Management, Inc., both regulated by the Securities and Exchange Commission.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>If you are a person with a disability and need additional support in viewing the material, please call us at 1-800-343-1113 for assistance.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Copyright 2025 JPMorgan Chase &amp; Co. All rights reserved.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><sup>\u00a9<\/sup>JPMorgan Chase &amp; Co., September 2025.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Unless otherwise stated, all data is as of September 29, 2025 or as of most recently available.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>This week&#8217;s chart highlights gold\u2019s record surge, yet shows its inflation-adjusted value still lags far behind stocks and bonds.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":186,"featured_media":208061,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"closed","sticky":true,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":true,"footnotes":""},"categories":[146,147,8,12,148,7],"tags":[],"contributors-categories":[429],"class_list":{"0":"post-208060","1":"post","2":"type-post","3":"status-publish","4":"format-standard","5":"has-post-thumbnail","7":"category-macro","8":"category-north-america","9":"category-region","10":"category-securities","11":"category-text-articles","12":"category-traders-insight","13":"contributors-categories-j-p-morgan-asset-management"},"pp_statuses_selecting_workflow":false,"pp_workflow_action":"current","pp_status_selection":"publish","acf":[],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO Premium plugin v26.9 (Yoast SEO v27.3) - https:\/\/yoast.com\/product\/yoast-seo-premium-wordpress\/ -->\n<title>Weekly Market Recap: Week of September 29, 2025<\/title>\n<meta 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