{"id":206151,"date":"2025-07-07T11:00:00","date_gmt":"2025-07-07T15:00:00","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/ibkrcampus.eu\/campus\/uncategorized\/sp-nq-shake-off-tariff-fears-support-now-defines-the-run\/"},"modified":"2025-07-08T16:03:23","modified_gmt":"2025-07-08T16:03:23","slug":"sp-nq-shake-off-tariff-fears-support-now-defines-the-run","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.interactivebrokers.eu\/campus\/traders-insight\/securities\/futures\/sp-nq-shake-off-tariff-fears-support-now-defines-the-run\/","title":{"rendered":"S&P & NQ Shake Off Tariff Fears\u2014Support Now Defines the Run"},"content":{"rendered":"\n

E-mini S&P (September) \/ E-mini NQ (September)<\/strong><\/h2>\n\n\n\n

S&P, last week\u2019s close: Settled at 6324.25, up 49.25 on Thursday and 100.50 on the week<\/p>\n\n\n\n

NQ, last week\u2019s close: Settled at 23,062.50, up 219.50 on Thursday and 311.00 on the week<\/p>\n\n\n\n

E-mini S&P and E-mini NQ futures surged to a record high on Thursday after job growth on the June Nonfarm Payrolls report was steady at 147k. This was in contrast to the private ADP survey released on Wednesday, which showed that 33k jobs were lost. The Unemployment Rate also fell to 4.1%, from 4.2%, which was lower than the expected 4.3%. Although immigration has had an impact on this rate, and participation in the survey fell, it will be seen as a headwind to rate cuts. The CME’s Fed Watch Tool now shows a 4.7% probability of a July cut, down from 20.7%. However, Wage Growth came in light at +0.2% m\/m versus +0.3%, down from +0.4% in May, and +3.7% y\/y versus +3.9%, down from 3.8%.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Price action in E-mini S&P and E-mini NQ futures then worked lower Thursday evening and through the 4th of July holiday session as the July 9th tariff deadline loomed. However, it became known over the weekend that while tariff letters will be sent to more than a dozen countries, some still in negotiations, tariffs now won\u2019t take effect until August 1st; the can has been kicked again. Indices found this favorable, erasing the holiday session swoon on last night’s open. .<\/p>\n\n\n\n

—<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Originally Posted on July 7, 2025 – S&P & NQ Shake Off Tariff Fears\u2014Support Now Defines the Run<\/a><\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n

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Futures trading involves a substantial risk of loss and may not be suitable for all investors. Trading advice is based on information taken from trade and statistical services and other sources Blue Line Futures, LLC believes are reliable. We do not guarantee that such information is accurate or complete, and it should not be relied upon as such. Trading advice reflects our good faith judgment at a specific time and is subject to change without notice. There is no guarantee that the advice we give will result in profitable trades. All trading decisions will be made by the account holder. Past performance is not necessarily indicative of future results.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

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