{"id":205247,"date":"2025-05-30T10:15:00","date_gmt":"2025-05-30T14:15:00","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/ibkrcampus.eu\/campus\/uncategorized\/travel-industry-fundamentals-remain-strong-bucking-negative-headlines\/"},"modified":"2025-06-04T08:48:19","modified_gmt":"2025-06-04T08:48:19","slug":"travel-industry-fundamentals-remain-strong-bucking-negative-headlines","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.interactivebrokers.eu\/campus\/traders-insight\/securities\/stocks\/travel-industry-fundamentals-remain-strong-bucking-negative-headlines\/","title":{"rendered":"Travel Industry Fundamentals Remain Strong, Bucking Negative Headlines"},"content":{"rendered":"\n<p>The headlines haven\u2019t been too kind to the travel industry lately. You\u2019ve probably seen the same bearish takes I have\u2014reports of slumping business travel to the U.S., falling international visitor spending and weak demand.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Context is everything, though, and if you dig a little deeper, you\u2019ll see a more nuanced, surprisingly bullish picture. In fact, there\u2019s a lot to like about the travel industry right now from an investment standpoint. You just have to know where to look.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h3 class=\"wp-block-heading\" id=\"h-americans-are-still-hitting-the-road-and-the-skies\"><strong>Americans Are Still Hitting the Road (and the Skies)<\/strong><\/h3>\n\n\n\n<p>Let\u2019s start with one of the most time-tested indicators of travel health: Memorial Day. According to AAA, an estimated&nbsp;<a href=\"https:\/\/newsroom.aaa.com\/2025\/05\/memorial-day-forecast\/\">45.1 million Americans<\/a>&nbsp;were expected to travel at least 50 miles from home this holiday weekend. That\u2019s the highest number ever recorded, breaking a record that\u2019s stood since 2005.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Despite inflationary pressures and economic uncertainty, American consumers continue to prioritize leisure travel. That\u2019s according to Allianz, whose latest survey found that&nbsp;<strong>63% of U.S. households express confidence<\/strong>&nbsp;in taking a summer vacation, and projected spending is set to hit a&nbsp;<a href=\"https:\/\/www.allianzworldwidepartners.com\/usa\/media-center\/press-releases\/Summer-vacation-confidence-and-spend-reach-record-highs-despite-ongoing-economic-uncertainty.html\">record $226.6 billion,<\/a>&nbsp;with the average household shelling out nearly $2,900 for their getaway.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image size-full\"><img decoding=\"async\" width=\"900\" height=\"900\" data-src=\"https:\/\/www.interactivebrokers.com\/campus\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/2\/2025\/05\/COMM-americans-summer-vacation-05232025.png\" alt=\"Americans' Summer Vacation Spend Expected to Hit a Record High in 2025\" class=\"wp-image-205252 lazyload\" src=\"data:image\/svg+xml;base64,PHN2ZyB3aWR0aD0iMSIgaGVpZ2h0PSIxIiB4bWxucz0iaHR0cDovL3d3dy53My5vcmcvMjAwMC9zdmciPjwvc3ZnPg==\" style=\"--smush-placeholder-width: 900px; aspect-ratio: 900\/900;\" \/><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<p>Deloitte also found that&nbsp;<a href=\"https:\/\/www.prnewswire.com\/news-releases\/deloitte-americans-plan-to-travel-more-this-summer-but-trips-may-be-less-extensive-302459838.html\">more than half of all Americans<\/a><strong>&nbsp;are planning leisure vacations this summer<\/strong>, with trip frequency on the rise. People may not feel wealthier, but they\u2019re still putting a premium on experiences and making time for family and travel.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image size-full\"><img decoding=\"async\" width=\"900\" height=\"900\" data-src=\"https:\/\/www.interactivebrokers.com\/campus\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/2\/2025\/05\/COMM-more-half-americans-travel-05232025.png\" alt=\"More Than Half of Americans Plan to Travel in Summer 2025\" class=\"wp-image-205251 lazyload\" src=\"data:image\/svg+xml;base64,PHN2ZyB3aWR0aD0iMSIgaGVpZ2h0PSIxIiB4bWxucz0iaHR0cDovL3d3dy53My5vcmcvMjAwMC9zdmciPjwvc3ZnPg==\" style=\"--smush-placeholder-width: 900px; aspect-ratio: 900\/900;\" \/><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<p>Past performance is not indicative of future results<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h3 class=\"wp-block-heading\" id=\"h-gas-prices-are-down-confidence-is-up\"><strong>Gas Prices Are Down, Confidence Is Up<\/strong><\/h3>\n\n\n\n<p>There\u2019s another tailwind worth highlighting:&nbsp;<strong>fuel prices<\/strong>. GasBuddy projects a national average of&nbsp;<a href=\"https:\/\/www.gasbuddy.com\/go\/summer-travel-2025\">$3.08 per gallon for Memorial Day,<\/a>&nbsp;the lowest since 2021 and the lowest adjusted for inflation since 2003. Over the course of the summer, prices could even drop below the $3 mark. That\u2019s good news for road trips and domestic leisure, which continues to represent a large portion of overall travel volume.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image size-full\"><img decoding=\"async\" width=\"900\" height=\"900\" data-src=\"https:\/\/www.interactivebrokers.com\/campus\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/2\/2025\/05\/COMM-memorial-day-gas-05232025.png\" alt=\"Memorial Day Gasoline Prices Will Be Cheapest Since 2021\" class=\"wp-image-205250 lazyload\" src=\"data:image\/svg+xml;base64,PHN2ZyB3aWR0aD0iMSIgaGVpZ2h0PSIxIiB4bWxucz0iaHR0cDovL3d3dy53My5vcmcvMjAwMC9zdmciPjwvc3ZnPg==\" style=\"--smush-placeholder-width: 900px; aspect-ratio: 900\/900;\" \/><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<p>Past performance is not indicative of future results<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Meanwhile, air travel is climbing back as well. AAA expects nearly&nbsp;<strong>3.61 million air passengers<\/strong>&nbsp;this Memorial Day, a 2% bump from last year and&nbsp;<strong>12% above pre-pandemic levels<\/strong>. Average domestic airfare is also up 2% year-over-year, suggesting steady demand.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h3 class=\"wp-block-heading\" id=\"h-yes-inbound-international-travel-is-weak-but-that-s-not-the-whole-story\"><strong>Yes, Inbound International Travel Is Weak, but That\u2019s Not the Whole Story<\/strong><\/h3>\n\n\n\n<p>Let\u2019s address the elephant in the room: international inbound travel to the U.S. is underperforming. The World Travel &amp; Tourism Council (WTTC) projects that the U.S. will&nbsp;<strong>lose&nbsp;<\/strong><a href=\"https:\/\/wttc.org\/news\/us-economy-set-to-lose-12-5bn-in-international-traveler-spend-this-year\">$12.5 billion<\/a><strong>&nbsp;in international visitor spending<\/strong>&nbsp;in 2025, with total spending falling to just under $169 billion.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Why? Some of it comes down to policy and perception. Reports of detentions and rigorous border checks have created concern among some foreign nationals.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>But from an investor\u2019s perspective, this isn\u2019t necessarily as damaging as it sounds. U.S. airlines and travel platforms still&nbsp;<strong>generate the majority of international revenue through domestic point-of-sale channels<\/strong>\u2014in other words, Americans booking trips abroad. So while inbound traffic is down, outbound travel remains robust.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h3 class=\"wp-block-heading\" id=\"h-european-travel-is-on-fire\"><strong>European Travel Is on Fire<\/strong><\/h3>\n\n\n\n<p>If you want to see what strong travel demand looks like, look across the Atlantic. Ryanair, the largest airline in Europe by passenger volume, says it\u2019s seeing&nbsp;<a href=\"https:\/\/www.reuters.com\/world\/europe\/ryanair-annual-profit-falls-16-weaker-fares-sees-strong-summer-demand-2025-05-19\/\">record demand<\/a><strong>&nbsp;across its network of 37 countries<\/strong>, with&nbsp;<strong>fares up in the mid-teens year-over-year<\/strong>.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>CEO Michael O\u2019Leary said, \u201cThe whole of Europe seems to be traveling,\u201d and recent earnings support that view. Ryanair\u2019s fare outlook is \u201cfar stronger than we had expected,\u201d according to analysts at Bernstein, potentially putting the company on track to replicate the profitability of spring 2023.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Demand for travel hasn\u2019t disappeared. It\u2019s just&nbsp;<strong>shifting geographically<\/strong>. Savvy investors can benefit from understanding where the action is moving.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h3 class=\"wp-block-heading\" id=\"h-online-booking-platforms-offer-selective-strength\"><strong>Online Booking Platforms Offer Selective Strength<\/strong><\/h3>\n\n\n\n<p>That brings us to the digital side of the travel business. Booking Holdings\u2014the parent company of Booking.com, Priceline and OpenTable\u2014was recently named&nbsp;<a href=\"https:\/\/www.investors.com\/research\/ibd-stock-of-the-day\/booking-stock-bkng-stock-of-the-day-travel-tariffs\/\">IBD\u2019s Stock of the Day<\/a>&nbsp;after posting&nbsp;<strong>22% earnings per share (EPS) growth<\/strong>&nbsp;and&nbsp;<strong>8% sales growth<\/strong>&nbsp;in Q1. What\u2019s key here is that Booking derives a&nbsp;<strong>majority of its revenue from Europe<\/strong>, giving it a natural advantage over U.S.-focused platforms like Expedia and Airbnb, which both flagged weakness in domestic travel.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>This divergence is worth watching. As American travel preferences shift toward regional and road-based trips, and international travel increasingly favors Europe over transatlantic routes, platforms with broad, diversified exposure may come out ahead.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h3 class=\"wp-block-heading\" id=\"h-cruise-lines-are-quietly-sailing-strong\"><strong>Cruise Lines Are Quietly Sailing Strong<\/strong><\/h3>\n\n\n\n<p>Another area that\u2019s sometimes overlooked, but increasingly important, is cruising. After a few tough years navigating pandemic-era restrictions and capacity limits, cruise lines are finally seeing smooth waters ahead.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Passenger volume has surged, especially in the post-pandemic recovery years. In 2023, cruise lines carried 31.7 million passengers, and that number jumped to 34.6 million in 2024, according to Cruise Lines International Association (CLIA). Forecasts suggest another 9% increase in 2025, reaching 37.7 million passengers, with continued growth projected to hit&nbsp;<a href=\"https:\/\/cruising.org\/resources\/state-cruise-industry-report-2025\">42 million by 2028.<\/a><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>The third quarter, typically the high season for cruising, continues to be the industry\u2019s strongest sailing period. In Q3 2024, 8.7 million passengers sailed on CLIA-member cruises, surpassing all previous seasonal peaks. These gains reflect not only pent-up demand but also fleet expansions and strategic deployments of larger, high-capacity ships, especially in popular destinations.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image size-full\"><img decoding=\"async\" width=\"900\" height=\"900\" data-src=\"https:\/\/www.interactivebrokers.com\/campus\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/2\/2025\/05\/COMM-3Q-strongest-historically-cruises-05232025.png\" alt=\"Third Quarter, Historically the Strongest Sailing Period for The Cruise Lines\" class=\"wp-image-205248 lazyload\" src=\"data:image\/svg+xml;base64,PHN2ZyB3aWR0aD0iMSIgaGVpZ2h0PSIxIiB4bWxucz0iaHR0cDovL3d3dy53My5vcmcvMjAwMC9zdmciPjwvc3ZnPg==\" style=\"--smush-placeholder-width: 900px; aspect-ratio: 900\/900;\" \/><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<p>Past performance is not indicative of future results<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h3 class=\"wp-block-heading\" id=\"h-what-investors-should-watch\"><strong>What Investors Should Watch<\/strong><\/h3>\n\n\n\n<p>There\u2019s no denying that parts of the travel industry are under pressure. Business travel to the U.S.&nbsp;<a href=\"https:\/\/www.travelandtourworld.com\/news\/article\/the-u-s-business-travel-faces-downturn-amid-economic-and-policy-challenges\/\">declined 9%<\/a>&nbsp;in April compared to last year.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>But that\u2019s only part of the story. As I see it, the broader trend is one of&nbsp;<strong>resilience<\/strong>. Consumers are still traveling, and planes are still packed. They\u2019re just adjusting how and where they do it. And companies that are well-positioned in those areas\u2014low-cost carriers in Europe, digital platforms with global exposure, airlines benefiting from lower fuel costs\u2014stand to benefit.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>&#8212;<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Originally Posted May 27, 2025 &#8211; <a href=\"https:\/\/www.usfunds.com\/resource\/travel-industry-fundamentals-remain-strong-bucking-negative-headlines\/\">Travel Industry Fundamentals Remain Strong, Bucking Negative Headlines<\/a><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>All opinions expressed and data provided are subject to change without notice. Some of these opinions may not be appropriate to every investor. By clicking the link(s) above, you will be directed to a third-party website(s). U.S. Global Investors does not endorse all information supplied by this\/these website(s) and is not responsible for its\/their content.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Holdings may change daily. Holdings are reported as of the most recent quarter-end. The following securities mentioned in the article were held by one or more accounts managed by U.S. Global Investors as of (03\/31\/2025):&nbsp;Ryanair Holdings PLC, Booking Holdings Inc., Expedia Group Inc.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>The headlines haven\u2019t been too kind to the travel industry lately. You\u2019ve probably seen the same bearish takes I have\u2014reports of slumping business travel to the U.S., falling international visitor spending and weak demand.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":36,"featured_media":205249,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"closed","sticky":true,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":true,"footnotes":""},"categories":[147,8,12,153,148,7],"tags":[],"contributors-categories":[224],"class_list":{"0":"post-205247","1":"post","2":"type-post","3":"status-publish","4":"format-standard","5":"has-post-thumbnail","7":"category-north-america","8":"category-region","9":"category-securities","10":"category-stocks","11":"category-text-articles","12":"category-traders-insight","13":"contributors-categories-us-global-investors"},"pp_statuses_selecting_workflow":false,"pp_workflow_action":"current","pp_status_selection":"publish","acf":[],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO Premium plugin v26.9 (Yoast SEO v27.4) - https:\/\/yoast.com\/product\/yoast-seo-premium-wordpress\/ -->\n<title>Travel Industry Fundamentals Remain Strong, Bucking Negative Headlines<\/title>\n<meta name=\"description\" content=\"The headlines haven\u2019t been too kind to the travel industry lately. 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You\u2019ve probably seen the same bearish takes I have\u2014reports of slumping business travel to the U.S., falling international visitor spending and weak demand.\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:url\" content=\"https:\/\/www.interactivebrokers.eu\/campus\/traders-insight\/securities\/stocks\/travel-industry-fundamentals-remain-strong-bucking-negative-headlines\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:site_name\" content=\"IBKR Campus EU\" \/>\n<meta property=\"article:published_time\" content=\"2025-05-30T14:15:00+00:00\" \/>\n<meta property=\"article:modified_time\" content=\"2025-06-04T08:48:19+00:00\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:image\" content=\"https:\/\/www.interactivebrokers.eu\/campus\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/3\/2025\/06\/AIR-higher-fares-push-ryanair-stock-05232025.png\" \/>\n\t<meta property=\"og:image:width\" content=\"900\" \/>\n\t<meta property=\"og:image:height\" content=\"900\" \/>\n\t<meta property=\"og:image:type\" content=\"image\/png\" \/>\n<meta name=\"author\" content=\"Frank Holmes\" \/>\n<meta name=\"twitter:card\" content=\"summary_large_image\" \/>\n<meta name=\"twitter:label1\" content=\"Written by\" \/>\n\t<meta name=\"twitter:data1\" content=\"Frank Holmes\" \/>\n\t<meta name=\"twitter:label2\" content=\"Est. reading time\" \/>\n\t<meta name=\"twitter:data2\" content=\"6 minutes\" \/>\n<script type=\"application\/ld+json\" class=\"yoast-schema-graph\">{\n\t    \"@context\": \"https:\\\/\\\/schema.org\",\n\t    \"@graph\": [\n\t        {\n\t            \"@type\": \"Article\",\n\t            \"@id\": \"https:\\\/\\\/ibkrcampus.eu\\\/campus\\\/traders-insight\\\/securities\\\/stocks\\\/travel-industry-fundamentals-remain-strong-bucking-negative-headlines\\\/#article\",\n\t            \"isPartOf\": {\n\t                \"@id\": \"https:\\\/\\\/ibkrcampus.eu\\\/campus\\\/traders-insight\\\/securities\\\/stocks\\\/travel-industry-fundamentals-remain-strong-bucking-negative-headlines\\\/\"\n\t            },\n\t            \"author\": {\n\t                \"name\": \"Frank Holmes\",\n\t                \"@id\": \"https:\\\/\\\/ibkrcampus.eu\\\/campus\\\/#\\\/schema\\\/person\\\/76a97f31492e588de01f76c9f6b1df38\"\n\t            },\n\t            \"headline\": \"Travel Industry Fundamentals Remain Strong, Bucking Negative Headlines\",\n\t            \"datePublished\": \"2025-05-30T14:15:00+00:00\",\n\t            \"dateModified\": \"2025-06-04T08:48:19+00:00\",\n\t            \"mainEntityOfPage\": {\n\t                \"@id\": \"https:\\\/\\\/ibkrcampus.eu\\\/campus\\\/traders-insight\\\/securities\\\/stocks\\\/travel-industry-fundamentals-remain-strong-bucking-negative-headlines\\\/\"\n\t            },\n\t            \"wordCount\": 1123,\n\t            \"commentCount\": 0,\n\t            \"image\": {\n\t                \"@id\": \"https:\\\/\\\/ibkrcampus.eu\\\/campus\\\/traders-insight\\\/securities\\\/stocks\\\/travel-industry-fundamentals-remain-strong-bucking-negative-headlines\\\/#primaryimage\"\n\t            },\n\t            \"thumbnailUrl\": \"https:\\\/\\\/www.interactivebrokers.eu\\\/campus\\\/wp-content\\\/uploads\\\/sites\\\/3\\\/2025\\\/06\\\/AIR-higher-fares-push-ryanair-stock-05232025.png\",\n\t            \"articleSection\": [\n\t                \"North America\",\n\t                \"Region\",\n\t                \"Securities\",\n\t                \"Stocks\",\n\t                \"Text Articles\",\n\t                \"Traders' Insight\"\n\t            ],\n\t            \"inLanguage\": \"en-US\",\n\t            \"potentialAction\": [\n\t                {\n\t                    \"@type\": \"CommentAction\",\n\t                    \"name\": \"Comment\",\n\t                    \"target\": [\n\t                        \"https:\\\/\\\/ibkrcampus.eu\\\/campus\\\/traders-insight\\\/securities\\\/stocks\\\/travel-industry-fundamentals-remain-strong-bucking-negative-headlines\\\/#respond\"\n\t                    ]\n\t                }\n\t            ]\n\t        },\n\t        {\n\t            \"@type\": \"WebPage\",\n\t            \"@id\": \"https:\\\/\\\/ibkrcampus.eu\\\/campus\\\/traders-insight\\\/securities\\\/stocks\\\/travel-industry-fundamentals-remain-strong-bucking-negative-headlines\\\/\",\n\t            \"url\": \"https:\\\/\\\/ibkrcampus.eu\\\/campus\\\/traders-insight\\\/securities\\\/stocks\\\/travel-industry-fundamentals-remain-strong-bucking-negative-headlines\\\/\",\n\t            \"name\": \"Travel Industry Fundamentals Remain Strong, Bucking Negative Headlines - 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