{"id":197013,"date":"2024-08-21T15:30:00","date_gmt":"2024-08-21T15:30:00","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/ibkrcampus.eu\/campus\/uncategorized\/so-top-heavy\/"},"modified":"2024-08-22T11:21:40","modified_gmt":"2024-08-22T11:21:40","slug":"so-top-heavy","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.interactivebrokers.eu\/campus\/traders-insight\/securities\/stocks\/so-top-heavy\/","title":{"rendered":"So Top-Heavy"},"content":{"rendered":"\n<p>When you buy an index fund, you\u2019re getting instant diversification, right?&nbsp; Well, not necessarily.&nbsp; And some readers may be surprised that sectoral indices are even less so.&nbsp; For better or worse, almost all capitalization-weighted US equity indices and sub-indices have become quite top-heavy.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>We have discussed how the S&amp;P 500 (SPX) and Nasdaq 100 (NDX) indices have become increasingly top-heavy.&nbsp; The \u201cGreat 8\u201d, the \u201cMagnificent 7\u201d plus Broadcom (AVGO) make up just under one-third of SPX and a bit under half of NDX. The top 10 stocks in SPX, which adds Berkshire Hathaway (BRK.B), Lilly (LLY) and JPMorgan (JPM), while removing Tesla (TSLA), are closer to 36%; the top 10 stocks in NDX, which adds Netflix (NFLX) and Costco (Costco), indeed make up over half that index.&nbsp; This hardly seems like true diversification.&nbsp; Whether they want to or not, buyers of index funds linked to those indices are making a significant investment in megacap technology stocks.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Some might think, \u201cOK, so I\u2019ll look at specific sectors for diversification instead.\u201d&nbsp; Once again, they may be disappointed.&nbsp;<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>[Note all weights are as of August 20<sup>th<\/sup>, 2024, and the symbols that follow the sector names are those of the Sector SPDR ETFs that represent them]<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Obviously, the <strong>Technology <\/strong>sector (XLK) would be a poor place to avoid tech, especially because Nvidia (NVDA), Microsoft (MSFT), Apple (AAPL) and AVGO, make up over half that grouping.&nbsp;<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>The <strong>Communication Services<\/strong> sector (XLC) would intuitively be top-heavy with tech; Amazon (AMZN) and the two classes of Alphabet (GOOG, GOOGL) make up about 44% of that index.&nbsp;<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Yet despite its name, the <strong>Consumer Discretionary<\/strong> sector (XLY) is extraordinarily tech heavy too.&nbsp; AMZN and TSLA make up about 38% of that index.&nbsp; Throw in Home Depot (HD), which is at least a non-tech stock, and we have three stocks that are just under half.&nbsp;<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Even as we move further away from tech, we see that other sectors are quite top-heavy as well.&nbsp; The <strong>Consumer Staples<\/strong> sector (XLP) is dominated by four companies: Procter &amp; Gamble (PG), COST, Walmart (WMT), and Coca-Cola (KO), which comprise just under half the weight. &nbsp;<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>The <strong>Energy<\/strong> Sector (XLE) is of course dominated by big oil, with Exxon Mobil (XOM) and Chevron (CHV) alone adding to 40%.&nbsp;<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>The <strong>Materials<\/strong> Sector (XLB) is a surprise.&nbsp; Thanks to a 21% weighting in Linde (LIN), the top four stocks, LIN, Sherwin-Williams (SHW), Freeport-McMoran (FCX), and Ecolab (ECL), comprise over 40% of that sector.&nbsp;<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>The <strong>Financials<\/strong> sector (XLF) is a bit better, where the top four stocks, BRK.B, JPM, Visa (V) and Mastercard (MA) are \u201conly\u201d about 37% of the weight.&nbsp; (By the way, the fact that three of the top four are non-banks should be a reminder that XLF is a very imperfect proxy for the banking sector.)&nbsp;<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>The <strong>Utilities<\/strong> sector (XLU) might seem egalitarian, but no.&nbsp; Its top four \u2013 NextEra (NEE), Southern Company (SO), Duke Energy (DUK) and Constellation Energy (CEG) \u2013 are about 35% of that sector\u2019s weight.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Something similar applies to <strong>Health Care<\/strong> (XLV).&nbsp; The combination of LLY, UnitedHealth (UNH), Johnson &amp; Johnson (JNJ), and AbbVie (ABBV) are also about 35% of that sector.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>The idiosyncratic <strong>Real Estate<\/strong> sector is not much different, with Prologis (PLD), American Tower (AMT), Equinix (EQIX), and Welltower (WELL), adding up to about a third of sector\u2019s weight.&nbsp;<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><strong>Industrials <\/strong>is by far the most egalitarian sector.&nbsp; The top four stocks, General Electric (GE), Caterpillar (CAT), RTX, and UBER, comprise a mere 17%.&nbsp; In fact, the top 10 stocks only comprise about 35% of the weight.&nbsp; The sector itself does not provide much diversification \u2013 it is highly dependent on economically sensitive stocks \u2013 but at least those who want exposure to industrials get it in a broad-based manner.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>But most importantly, use this knowledge.\u00a0 Diversification, should you desire it, is often harder to come by than it seems.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>When you buy an index fund, you\u2019re getting instant diversification, right?  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