{"id":196412,"date":"2024-07-29T10:15:00","date_gmt":"2024-07-29T14:15:00","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/ibkrcampus.eu\/uncategorized\/gaming-mag-7-earnings-and-macro\/"},"modified":"2024-07-30T13:58:37","modified_gmt":"2024-07-30T13:58:37","slug":"gaming-mag-7-earnings-and-macro","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.interactivebrokers.eu\/campus\/traders-insight\/securities\/macro\/gaming-mag-7-earnings-and-macro\/","title":{"rendered":"Gaming Mag 7 Earnings and Macro"},"content":{"rendered":"\n

E-mini S&P (September) \/ E-mini NQ (September)<\/strong><\/h2>\n\n\n\n

S&P, last week\u2019s close: Settled at 5499.00, up 57.75 on Friday and down 54.75 on the week<\/p>\n\n\n\n

NQ, last week\u2019s close: Settled at 19,174.50, up 182.25 on Friday and down 538.50 on the week<\/p>\n\n\n\n

We are embarking on one of the most pivotal weeks of the year. Earnings announcements from the largest companies surround the Federal Reserve\u2019s policy decision Wednesday afternoon. There is only a 4.1% probability the Federal Reserve will cut rates at this meeting, but the committee is expected to telegraph a September rate cut. In fact, the CME Group\u2019s FedWatch Tool is pricing in a September cut with 100% certainty. As for earnings, according to The Transcript there are 171 companies in the S&P 500 reporting this week. Furthermore, four out of the top five or four out of the top six (if you combine GOOG and GOOGL). Bill Baruch joined the CNBC Halftime Report on Thursday, where he reiterated his confidence in strong big tech earnings that will help alleviate waning confidence and reinvigorate its outperformance.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

E-mini S&P and E-mini NQ futures again tested a critical area of major three-star resistance at 5528.75-5533.25 and 19,356-19,390 this morning. These pockets of resistance are the first in a wave of thick overhead supply the indices must chew through in order to recoup the July 23rd<\/sup>\u00a0close, when GOOG and TSLA reported. The July 23rd<\/sup>\u00a0settlement aligns to create rare major four-star resistance. To the downside, price action associated with a choppy Thursday and Friday trade helps build out supports, most importantly that which aligns with Friday\u2019s weekly settlement.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Bias: Neutral\/Bullish<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Resistance: 5528.75-5533.25***, 5542.75***, 5551.50-5553.75**, 5572.75-5576.75***, 5599.25-5611****<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Pivot: 5522.25<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Support: 5508.50-5509.25**, 5499-5501.75***, 5478.50-5482***, 5470-5472.50**, 5448.25-5453.25***, 5439-5441***, 5432.50**, 5391.25-5398.25***, 5366.50-5370.50****<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Past performance is not indicative of future results<\/p>\n\n\n\n

NQ (September)<\/strong><\/h2>\n\n\n\n

Resistance: 19,356-19,390***, 19,496-19,501**, 19,654-19,686***, 19,728-19,751**, 19,809-19,828**, 19,925-19,933****<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Pivot: 19,250<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Support: 19,159-19,174***, 19,104**, 19,040-19,060**, 18,945-18,992****, 18,883**, 18,727***, 18,645-18,675****, 18,482-18,500***<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Past performance is not indicative of future results<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Click here to get our (FULL) daily reports emailed to you!<\/strong> <\/a><\/p>\n\n\n\n

Crude Oil (September)<\/strong><\/h2>\n\n\n\n

Last week\u2019s close: Settled at 77.16, down 1.12 on Friday and 1.48 on the week<\/p>\n\n\n\n

WTI Crude Oil futures opened higher Sunday night amid Middle East tensions. A deadly rock strike on Israel by Iran-backed Hezbollah has eroded the hopes of a ceasefire between Israel and Hamas. However, a firm tape overnight has dissipated, and Crude Oil futures are testing into the gap open and major three-star support at 76.0r-76.40. This support level is one in which price action tested multiple times last week and a higher low today will help build out an inverse head and shoulders bottoming pattern.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Bias: Neutral\/Bullish<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Resistance: 77.69-77.81**, 77.98-78.08**, 78.64-78.92***, 79.22**, 79.81***, 80.70***, 81.30***<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Pivot: 77.25<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Support: 76.04-76.40****, 75.71-75.87*, 75.08-75.32**, 74.55-74.91***<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Past performance is not indicative of future results<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Click here to get our (FULL) daily reports emailed to you!<\/strong> <\/a><\/p>\n\n\n\n

Gold (December) \/ Silver (September)<\/strong><\/h2>\n\n\n\n

Gold, last week\u2019s close: Settled at 2427.9, up 28.0 on Friday and down 18.9 on the week<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Silver, last week\u2019s close: Settled at 28.02, up 0.045 on Friday and down 1.279 on the week<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Gold and Silver futures are working back from last week\u2019s beatdown. We believe the continued weakness is a near-term phenomenon and the result of three factors. Weakness is closely correlated to volatility associated with an unwind of the Japanese Yen carry trade. Also, the communist party of China prioritized quality growth over stimulated growth. With China\u2019s economic growth trajectory deteriorating, the country is essentially exporting deflation. Lastly, speculative positioning in Gold became overzealous and a move off record highs created a liquidation event.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

December Gold futures are now front month, and strength overnight tested major three-star resistance, aligning with a .382 retracement from last week\u2019s low back to the prior week\u2019s all-time high at 2451.5. We will be looking for balance at 2436.7 in order to hold a constructive session. Silver certainly lagged in its strength Sunday night and continues to struggle against key resistance at 28.28-28.34.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Bias: Neutral\/Bullish<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Resistance: 2451.5***, 2464-2468***<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Pivot: 2436.7<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Support: 2427.9-2430.5***<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Past performance is not indicative of future results<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Silver (Sept)<\/strong><\/h2>\n\n\n\n

Resistance: 28.28-28.34**, 28.90-29.06****<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Pivot: 28.10<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Support: 28.04**, 27.91-27.95**, 27.75**, 27.54**, 27.33-27.40**, 26.61-26.98****<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Past performance is not indicative of future results<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Click here to get our (FULL) daily reports emailed to you!<\/a><\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n

<\/h2>\n\n\n\n

Click here to get our (FULL) daily reports emailed to you!<\/a><\/strong><\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n

—<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Originally Posted July 29, 2024 – Gaming Mag 7 Earnings and Macro<\/a><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

Bill Baruch expects strong Mag 7 earnings to come, explains why, and discusses what macro headwind he fears could be a Black Swan event.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":10,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":true,"footnotes":""},"categories":[146,147,8,12,148,7],"tags":[221,252,291,314,223,383],"contributors-categories":[411],"class_list":{"0":"post-196412","1":"post","2":"type-post","3":"status-publish","4":"format-standard","6":"category-macro","7":"category-north-america","8":"category-region","9":"category-securities","10":"category-text-articles","11":"category-traders-insight","12":"tag-commodities","13":"tag-earnings","14":"tag-macro","15":"tag-market-outlook","16":"tag-metals","17":"tag-stock-market","18":"contributors-categories-blue-line-futures"},"pp_statuses_selecting_workflow":false,"pp_workflow_action":"current","pp_status_selection":"publish","acf":[],"yoast_head":"\nGaming Mag 7 Earnings and Macro | Traders' Insight<\/title>\n<meta name=\"description\" content=\"Bill Baruch expects strong Mag 7 earnings to come, explains why, and discusses what macro headwind he fears could be a Black Swan event.\" \/>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n<link rel=\"canonical\" href=\"https:\/\/www.interactivebrokers.com\/campus\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/196412\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:locale\" content=\"en_US\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:type\" content=\"article\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:title\" content=\"Gaming Mag 7 Earnings and Macro\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:description\" content=\"Bill Baruch expects strong Mag 7 earnings to come, explains why, and discusses what macro headwind he fears could be a Black Swan event.\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:url\" content=\"https:\/\/www.interactivebrokers.eu\/campus\/traders-insight\/securities\/macro\/gaming-mag-7-earnings-and-macro\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:site_name\" content=\"IBKR Campus EU\" \/>\n<meta property=\"article:published_time\" content=\"2024-07-29T14:15:00+00:00\" \/>\n<meta property=\"article:modified_time\" content=\"2024-07-30T13:58:37+00:00\" \/>\n<meta name=\"author\" content=\"Bill Baruch\" \/>\n<meta name=\"twitter:card\" content=\"summary_large_image\" \/>\n<meta name=\"twitter:label1\" content=\"Written by\" \/>\n\t<meta name=\"twitter:data1\" content=\"Bill Baruch\" \/>\n\t<meta name=\"twitter:label2\" content=\"Est. reading time\" \/>\n\t<meta name=\"twitter:data2\" content=\"4 minutes\" \/>\n<script type=\"application\/ld+json\" class=\"yoast-schema-graph\">{\n\t \"@context\": \"https:\\\/\\\/schema.org\",\n\t \"@graph\": [\n\t {\n\t \"@type\": \"Article\",\n\t \"@id\": \"https:\\\/\\\/www.interactivebrokers.eu\\\/campus\\\/traders-insight\\\/securities\\\/macro\\\/gaming-mag-7-earnings-and-macro\\\/#article\",\n\t \"isPartOf\": {\n\t \"@id\": \"https:\\\/\\\/www.interactivebrokers.eu\\\/campus\\\/traders-insight\\\/securities\\\/macro\\\/gaming-mag-7-earnings-and-macro\\\/\"\n\t },\n\t \"author\": {\n\t \"name\": \"Bill Baruch\",\n\t \"@id\": \"https:\\\/\\\/ibkrcampus.eu\\\/campus\\\/#\\\/schema\\\/person\\\/adedaa1ed5166130778e64a4e1fa7d9f\"\n\t },\n\t \"headline\": \"Gaming Mag 7 Earnings and Macro\",\n\t \"datePublished\": \"2024-07-29T14:15:00+00:00\",\n\t \"dateModified\": \"2024-07-30T13:58:37+00:00\",\n\t \"mainEntityOfPage\": {\n\t \"@id\": \"https:\\\/\\\/www.interactivebrokers.eu\\\/campus\\\/traders-insight\\\/securities\\\/macro\\\/gaming-mag-7-earnings-and-macro\\\/\"\n\t },\n\t \"wordCount\": 718,\n\t \"commentCount\": 0,\n\t \"keywords\": [\n\t \"commodities\",\n\t \"earnings\",\n\t \"macro\",\n\t \"market outlook\",\n\t \"metals\",\n\t \"stock market\"\n\t ],\n\t \"articleSection\": [\n\t \"Macro\",\n\t \"North America\",\n\t \"Region\",\n\t \"Securities\",\n\t \"Text Articles\",\n\t \"Traders' Insight\"\n\t ],\n\t \"inLanguage\": \"en-US\",\n\t \"potentialAction\": [\n\t {\n\t \"@type\": \"CommentAction\",\n\t \"name\": \"Comment\",\n\t \"target\": [\n\t \"https:\\\/\\\/www.interactivebrokers.eu\\\/campus\\\/traders-insight\\\/securities\\\/macro\\\/gaming-mag-7-earnings-and-macro\\\/#respond\"\n\t ]\n\t }\n\t ]\n\t },\n\t {\n\t \"@type\": \"WebPage\",\n\t \"@id\": \"https:\\\/\\\/www.interactivebrokers.eu\\\/campus\\\/traders-insight\\\/securities\\\/macro\\\/gaming-mag-7-earnings-and-macro\\\/\",\n\t \"url\": \"https:\\\/\\\/www.interactivebrokers.eu\\\/campus\\\/traders-insight\\\/securities\\\/macro\\\/gaming-mag-7-earnings-and-macro\\\/\",\n\t \"name\": \"Gaming Mag 7 Earnings and Macro - 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