{"id":196185,"date":"2024-07-22T09:45:00","date_gmt":"2024-07-22T13:45:00","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/ibkrcampus.eu\/uncategorized\/weekly-market-recap-july-22-2024\/"},"modified":"2024-07-23T09:43:12","modified_gmt":"2024-07-23T09:43:12","slug":"weekly-market-recap-july-22-2024","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.interactivebrokers.eu\/campus\/traders-insight\/securities\/macro\/weekly-market-recap-july-22-2024\/","title":{"rendered":"Weekly Market Recap: July 22, 2024"},"content":{"rendered":"\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\" id=\"h-the-week-in-review\">The week in review<\/h2>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li>Retail sales were flat in June but rose 0.4% m\/m ex-autos<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>Industrial production rose 0.6% m\/m<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>Initial jobless claims jumped to 243K from 223K<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\" id=\"h-the-week-ahead\">The week ahead<\/h2>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li>2Q GDP (first estimate)<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>Markit PMIs<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>PCE<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\" id=\"h-thought-of-the-week\">Thought of the Week<\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p>Like 2022, 2023 was a stagnant year for private equity (PE). Against a backdrop of higher interest rates and economic uncertainty, PE exit activity slowed as buyers and sellers struggled to find common ground on valuations. However, recent data suggest that the worst of the exit activity slump may be behind us.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>According to data and estimates from PitchBook, the dollar value of U.S. PE exits rose roughly 15% y\/y in 1H24. This is, in part, due to a rebound in IPO exits, which likely owes to a buoyant public equity market and improved clarity on the outlook for interest rates and the economy. That said, the asset class is not out of the woods quite yet. Exits remain far below 2021 levels as public listings remain notably subdued. Corporate and sponsor acquisitions have also fallen, but to a lesser extent, and corporate acquisitions now make up a larger share of exits than normal. Moreover, the number of deals in 1H24, including estimates, rose just 1.3% y\/y, while the ratio of PE exits to investments fell to 0.36x in 2Q24 as managers remain focused on putting a near record $3.9tn of dry powder to work.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>For public markets, even small improvements in PE exit activity should benefit financials by way of more robust capital market activity. This is already playing out in the 2Q earnings season, with many large banks beating earnings expectations thanks to surging investment banking revenues. However, with interest rates likely to fall slowly rather than drop precipitously, exit activity may take longer to return to normal. As such, opportunities in secondaries, which can provide existing limited partners with liquidity and prospective buyers the chance to invest in seasoned assets at a discount, look increasingly attractive.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image size-full\"><img decoding=\"async\" width=\"1027\" height=\"400\" data-src=\"https:\/\/ibkrcampusdev.wpengine.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/3\/2024\/07\/Screenshot-2024-07-22-101625.png\" alt=\"US private equity exit activity\" class=\"wp-image-196186 lazyload\" data-srcset=\"https:\/\/ibkrcampus.eu\/campus\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/3\/2024\/07\/Screenshot-2024-07-22-101625.png 1027w, https:\/\/ibkrcampus.eu\/campus\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/3\/2024\/07\/Screenshot-2024-07-22-101625-700x273.png 700w, https:\/\/ibkrcampus.eu\/campus\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/3\/2024\/07\/Screenshot-2024-07-22-101625-300x117.png 300w, https:\/\/ibkrcampus.eu\/campus\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/3\/2024\/07\/Screenshot-2024-07-22-101625-768x299.png 768w\" data-sizes=\"(max-width: 1027px) 100vw, 1027px\" src=\"data:image\/svg+xml;base64,PHN2ZyB3aWR0aD0iMSIgaGVpZ2h0PSIxIiB4bWxucz0iaHR0cDovL3d3dy53My5vcmcvMjAwMC9zdmciPjwvc3ZnPg==\" style=\"--smush-placeholder-width: 1027px; aspect-ratio: 1027\/400;\" \/><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<p>Chart of the Week: PitchBook, J.P. Morgan Asset Management. Data<br>are sourced from PitchBook&#8217;s \u201cQ2 2024 U.S. PE Breakdown&#8221; and are<br>as of 6\/30\/2024. Public listings include IPOs and reverse mergers.<br>*1H24 data includes PitchBook estimates for late reporting deals.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Thought of the week: PitchBook, Preqin, J.P. Morgan Asset<br>Management.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>\u2014<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Originally Posted July 8, 2024 \u2013&nbsp;<a href=\"https:\/\/am.jpmorgan.com\/us\/en\/asset-management\/adv\/insights\/market-insights\/market-updates\/weekly-market-recap\/\">Weekly Market Recap<\/a><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><strong>Past performance does not guarantee future results.<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><strong>Diversification does not guarantee investment returns and does not eliminate the risk of loss.<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Opinions and estimates offered constitute our judgment and are subject to change without notice, as are statements of financial market trends, which are based on current market conditions. We believe the information provided here is reliable, but do not warrant its accuracy or completeness. This material is not intended as an offer or solicitation for the purchase or sale of any financial instrument. The views and strategies described may not be appropriate for all investors. This material has been prepared for informational purposes only, and is not intended to provide, and should not be relied on for, accounting, legal or tax advice. References to future returns are not promises or even estimates of actual returns a client portfolio may achieve. Any forecasts contained herein are for illustrative purposes only and are not to be relied upon as advice or interpreted as a recommendation.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>The Market Insights program provides comprehensive data and commentary on global markets without reference to products. Designed as a tool to help clients understand the markets and support investment decision-making, the program explores the implications of current economic data and changing market conditions.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>The J.P. Morgan Asset Management Market Insights and Portfolio Insights programs, as non-independent research, have not been prepared in accordance with legal requirements designed to promote the independence of investment research, nor are they subject to any prohibition on dealing ahead of the dissemination of investment research.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>This document is a general communication being provided for informational purposes only. It is educational in nature and not designed to be taken as advice or a recommendation for any specific investment product, strategy, plan feature<br>or other purpose in any jurisdiction, nor is it a commitment from J.P. Morgan Asset Management or any of its subsidiaries to participate in any of the transactions mentioned herein. Any examples used are generic, hypothetical and for illustration purposes only. This material does not contain sufficient information to support an investment decision and it should not be relied upon by you in evaluating the merits of investing in any securities or products. In addition, users should make an independent assessment of the legal, regulatory, tax, credit, and accounting implications and determine, together with their own financial professional, if any investment mentioned herein is believed to be appropriate to their personal goals. Investors should ensure that they obtain all available relevant information before making any investment.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Any forecasts, figures, opinions or investment techniques and strategies set out are for information purposes only, based on certain assumptions and current market conditions and are subject to change without prior notice. All information presented herein is considered to be accurate at the time of production, but no warranty of accuracy is given and no liability in respect of any error or omission is accepted. It should be noted that investment involves risks, the value of investments and the income from them may fluctuate in accordance with market conditions and taxation agreements and investors may not get back the full amount invested. Both past performance and yields are not reliable indicators of current and future results.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>J.P. Morgan Asset Management is the brand for the asset management business of JPMorgan Chase &amp; Co. and its affiliates worldwide.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Telephone calls and electronic communications may be monitored and\/or recorded.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Personal data will be collected, stored and processed by J.P. Morgan Asset Management in accordance with our privacy policies at https:\/\/www.jpmorgan.com\/privacy.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>This communication is issued in the United States, by J.P. Morgan Investment Management Inc. or J.P. Morgan Alternative Asset Management, Inc., both regulated by the Securities and Exchange Commission.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>If you are a person with a disability and need additional support in viewing the material, please call us at 1-800-343-1113 for assistance.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Copyright 2024 JPMorgan Chase &amp; Co. All rights reserved.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><sup>\u00a9<\/sup>JPMorgan Chase &amp; Co., July 2024.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Unless otherwise stated, all data is as of July 22, 2024 or as of most recently available.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Opportunities in secondaries, which can provide existing limited partners with liquidity and prospective buyers the chance to invest in seasoned assets at a discount, look increasingly attractive.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":186,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":true,"footnotes":""},"categories":[146,147,8,12,148,7],"tags":[],"contributors-categories":[429],"class_list":{"0":"post-196185","1":"post","2":"type-post","3":"status-publish","4":"format-standard","6":"category-macro","7":"category-north-america","8":"category-region","9":"category-securities","10":"category-text-articles","11":"category-traders-insight","12":"contributors-categories-j-p-morgan-asset-management"},"pp_statuses_selecting_workflow":false,"pp_workflow_action":"current","pp_status_selection":"publish","acf":[],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO Premium plugin v26.9 (Yoast SEO v27.4) - https:\/\/yoast.com\/product\/yoast-seo-premium-wordpress\/ -->\n<title>Weekly Market Recap: July 22, 2024 | Traders&#039; Insight<\/title>\n<meta name=\"description\" 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