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Government Shutdown Expected to Run Deep into November: Oct. 24, 2025

Government Shutdown Expected to Run Deep into November: Oct. 24, 2025

Posted October 24, 2025 at 1:14 pm

Jose Torres
IBKR Macroeconomics

The IBKR prediction market implies a 50% chance that the government shutdown will end by Nov. 10. Meanwhile, the odds for a reopening by Oct. 31 and Nov. 7 are 11% and 43%, respectively, while the chances for the shutdown to end by Nov. 14 and Nov. 21 are 63% and 74%.

Source for images: ForecastEx Past performance is not indicative of future results

Note: Prices are highest bids as of the morning of Oct. 24, 2025. 

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